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icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$97,599 Обс.

Apr 22, 2027
Polymarket

$97,599 Обс.

Polymarket

Jordan Bardella

$6,278 Обс.

9%

Michel Barnier

$422 Обс.

10%

Valérie Pécresse

$1,266 Обс.

5%

Élisabeth Borne

$3,034 Обс.

9%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,089 Обс.

9%

Jean Castex

$1,246 Обс.

2%

Gérald Darmanin

$1,178 Обс.

7%

Sébastien Lecornu

$4,032 Обс.

10%

François Bayrou

$1,278 Обс.

2%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,256 Обс.

41%

Carole Delga

$1,413 Обс.

4%

François Hollande

$1,664 Обс.

60%

Manuel Bompard

$3,330 Обс.

6%

Mathilde Panot

$19,320 Обс.

3%

Dominique de Villepin

$1,664 Обс.

70%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.By mid-September 2026, more than 30 candidates had formally declared for France’s April 2027 presidential election, reflecting Macron’s ineligibility for a third term and an unusually open field. Recent announcements include Nicolas Dupont-Aignan’s formalization on 19 September, Olivier Faure and Fabien Roussel in late August and early September, and earlier entries from Gabriel Attal, Raphaël Glucksmann, Karim Bouamrane, and Bruno Retailleau. Marine Le Pen launched her campaign in July after an appeals court cleared her eligibility hurdle, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon remains the leading far-left contender. The left’s United Left primary scheduled for 11 October 2026 and ongoing center-right positioning around figures such as Édouard Philippe continue to shape the timeline for additional declarations before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$97,599
Дата завершення
Apr 23, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.By mid-September 2026, more than 30 candidates had formally declared for France’s April 2027 presidential election, reflecting Macron’s ineligibility for a third term and an unusually open field. Recent announcements include Nicolas Dupont-Aignan’s formalization on 19 September, Olivier Faure and Fabien Roussel in late August and early September, and earlier entries from Gabriel Attal, Raphaël Glucksmann, Karim Bouamrane, and Bruno Retailleau. Marine Le Pen launched her campaign in July after an appeals court cleared her eligibility hurdle, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon remains the leading far-left contender. The left’s United Left primary scheduled for 11 October 2026 and ongoing center-right positioning around figures such as Édouard Philippe continue to shape the timeline for additional declarations before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$97,599
Дата завершення
Apr 23, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 21 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Éric Zemmour» з 100%, далі «Gabriel Attal» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

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Щоб торгувати на «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?», перегляньте 21 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — «Éric Zemmour» з 100%. Наступний — «Gabriel Attal» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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