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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Вибори·Вибори у Франції

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

НОВЕ
Apr 23, 2027
Polymarket

$9,815 Обс.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$87 Обс.

42%

Jordan Bardella

$890 Обс.

69%

Michel Barnier

$141 Обс.

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 Обс.

12%

Gabriel Attal

$549 Обс.

91%

Élisabeth Borne

$81 Обс.

34%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$104 Обс.

28%

Jean Castex

$64 Обс.

20%

Gérald Darmanin

$144 Обс.

12%

Sébastien Lecornu

$75 Обс.

51%

François Bayrou

$463 Обс.

9%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$41 Обс.

49%

Carole Delga

$148 Обс.

17%

Olivier Faure

$50 Обс.

48%

François Hollande

$132 Обс.

59%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$81 Обс.

51%

Manuel Bompard

$63 Обс.

16%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,383 Обс.

99%

Mathilde Panot

$84 Обс.

7%

Dominique de Villepin

$14 Обс.

52%

Marine Le Pen

$67 Обс.

50%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With President Macron constitutionally barred from seeking a third consecutive term, the 2027 French presidential race has drawn early interest from multiple figures across the political spectrum. Jean-Luc Mélenchon recently confirmed his fourth candidacy, aiming to consolidate radical-left support ahead of the April vote. On the center-right, former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe has signaled his intentions while positioning his Horizons party to bridge moderates, and Gabriel Attal has begun distinguishing himself from Macron within Renaissance. Marine Le Pen's ongoing legal challenges could clear the path for Jordan Bardella as the National Rally contender. These positioning moves, alongside ongoing left-wing primary discussions, shape trader focus on who will formally declare in 2026.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$9,815
Дата завершення
Apr 23, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With President Macron constitutionally barred from seeking a third consecutive term, the 2027 French presidential race has drawn early interest from multiple figures across the political spectrum. Jean-Luc Mélenchon recently confirmed his fourth candidacy, aiming to consolidate radical-left support ahead of the April vote. On the center-right, former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe has signaled his intentions while positioning his Horizons party to bridge moderates, and Gabriel Attal has begun distinguishing himself from Macron within Renaissance. Marine Le Pen's ongoing legal challenges could clear the path for Jordan Bardella as the National Rally contender. These positioning moves, alongside ongoing left-wing primary discussions, shape trader focus on who will formally declare in 2026.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$9,815
Дата завершення
Apr 23, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 21 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» з 99%, далі «Gabriel Attal» з 91%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 22, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?», перегляньте 21 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» з 99%. Наступний — «Gabriel Attal» з 91%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.