Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

51% шанс — ні

+6.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

92% шанс — ні

+0.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

95% шанс — так

+0.4%

$3M Обсяг

Мільярдер одноразово сплачує податок на багатство на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?

64% шанс — ні

-7.0%

$6.1K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

51% шанс — ні

+6.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

92% шанс — ні

+0.0%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

$319K Обсяг

AK Senate

61% Демократ

$202K Обсяг

TX Senate

54% Республіканець

+1%

$115K Обсяг

IA Senate

60% Республіканець

$92.6K Обсяг

OH Governor

52% Демократ

$76.7K Обсяг

OH Senate

57% Демократ

$319K Обсяг

AK Senate

61% Демократ

$202K Обсяг

TX Senate

54% Республіканець

+1%

$115K Обсяг

IA Senate

60% Республіканець

Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії Ксав'єр Бесерра

Всі перегони

517 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
Переможець виборів губернатора Каліфорнії	Ксав'єр Бесерра	52%
	Том Стейєр	32%
	Стів Гілтон	9%
	Чад Б’янко	3%
	Метт Махан	2%
	Кеті Портер	1%
	Елейн Кулотті	1%
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner	Thomas Massie	61%
	Ed Gallrein	39%
Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски	Том Бегіч	36%
	Бернадетт Вілсон	25%
	Treg Taylor	10%
	Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс	10%
	Click Bishop	8%
	Ненсі Дальстром	6%
	David Bronson	5%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner	Alex Bores	54%
	Micah Lasher	30%
	Jack Schlossberg	18%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	56%
	Dan Sullivan	35%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	78%
	Republican	23%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Republican	55%
	Democrat	46%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	86%
	Aaron Baker	8%
	Dan Bilzerian	3%
NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Denise Powell	100%
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Claire Valdez	70%
	Antonio Reynoso	31%
	Lincoln Restler	1%
TX-19 Republican Primary Winner	Tom Sell	98%
	Abraham Enriquez	2%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	81%
	Independent	16%
	Democrat	4%
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner	Beth Davidson	43%
	Cait Conley	39%
	Effie Phillips-Staley	26%
	Peter Chatzky	1%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner	Democrat	82%
	Republican	17%
Minnesota Governor Election Winner	Democrat	95%
	Republican	4%
PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Chris Rabb	62%
	Sharif Street	36%
	Ala Stanford	5%
OK-01 Republican Primary Winner	Jackson Lahmeyer	50%
	Mark Tedford	50%
	Dan Rooney	2%
TX-38 Republican Primary Winner	Jon Bonck	94%
	Barrett McNabb	3%
	Shelly deZevallos	3%
	Craig Goralski	1%
	Jennifer Sundt	1%
	Carmen Montiel	1%
	Michael Pratt	1%
	Larry Rubin	1%
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Koh	80%
	Rachel Creemers	4%
	John Beccia	3%
	Tram Nguyen	3%
	Jamie Zahlaway Belsito	2%
	Kevin Larivee	2%
	Diann Slavit Baylis	2%
	Seth Moulton	1%
	Mariah Lancaster	1%
	Rick Jakious	1%
Florida Senate Election Winner	Republican	84%
	Democrat	17%
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner	Blake Miguez	70%
	Michael Echols	19%
	Rick Edmonds	6%
	Misti Cordell	3%
	Austin Magee	2%
	Michael Mebruer	1%
	Samuel Wyatt	1%
Colorado Senate Election Winner	Democrat	92%
	Republican	9%
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner	Ritchie Torres	92%
	Michael Blake	6%
	Dalourny Nemorin	2%
TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner	Christian Menefee	75%
	Al Green	10%
Kansas Senate Election Winner	Republican	84%
	Democrat	17%
PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Bob Brooks	87%
	Lamont McClure	8%
	Carol Obando-Derstine	6%
	Ryan Crosswell	4%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Democrat	84%
	Republican	17%
GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Jasmine Clark	89%
	Everton Blair Jr.	9%
	Joe Lester	2%
	David Scott	1%
	Emanuel Jones	1%
	Heavenly Kimes	1%
IA-02 Republican Primary Winner	Joe Mitchell	95%
	Charlie McClintock	3%
KY-06 Republican Primary Winner	Ralph Alvarado	96%
	Gavin Solomon	3%
	Adam Perez Arquette	2%
	Ryan Dotson	1%
	Greg Plucinski	1%
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Adriano Espaillat	71%
	Darializa Avila Chevalier	28%
	Oscar Romero	2%
Mississippi Senate Election Winner	Republican	90%
	Democrat	11%
PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner	Janelle Stelson	97%
	Michael Robinson	2%
	Jason Cass	1%
	Justin Douglas	1%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Jared Moskowitz	37%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	33%
IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Christina Bohannan	94%
	Travis Terrell	4%
	Taylor Wettach	2%
MN-02 Republican Primary Winner	Eric Pratt	93%
	Tyler Kistner	1%
NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Laura Gillen	82%
	Nicholas Sciretta	14%
	Taylor Darling	4%
MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner	Jeremy Moss	90%
	Aisha Farooqi	4%
	Andy Levin	4%
	Don Ufford	4%
	Dave Woodward	2%
MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Adrian Boafo	48%
	Harry Dunn	22%
	Rushern Baker III	19%
	Wala Blegay	12%
	Nicole Williams	6%
	Jerry Lightfoot	4%
	Quincy Bareebe	1%
	Harold Tolbert	1%
	Terry Jackson	1%
ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Joe Baldacci	63%
	Matthew Dunlap	24%
	Jordan Wood	10%
	Paige Loud	7%
	Jared Golden	3%
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Smith	68%
	Alex Pelbath	20%
	Jenny Costa Honeycutt	4%
	Jay Byars	4%
	Jack Ellison	4%
	Sam McCown	3%
	Logan Cunningham	1%
ME-02 Republican Primary Winner	Paul LePage	97%
	James Clark	2%
GA-09 Republican Primary Winner	Andrew Clyde	90%
	Sam Couvillon	7%
	Gregg Poole	1%
CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Luke Bronin	48%
	John Larson	41%
	Ruth Fortune	4%
	Mark Stewart Greenstein	2%
	Jillian Gilchrest	2%
GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Nikema Williams	99%
	Andres Castro	1%
	Arnetress Beatty	1%
CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Diana DeGette	61%
	Melat Kiros	35%
	Santiago Palomino	1%
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner	Rob Adkerson	44%
	Tricia Pridemore	28%
	John Cowan	25%
	Chris Mora	7%
	Lisa Carlquist	4%
	William Brown	4%
	John Hobbs	3%
MT-01 Republican Primary Winner	Aaron Flint	87%
	Christi Jacobsen	23%
	Albert Olszewski	6%
	Ray Curtis	1%
MD-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Schwartz	88%
	George Walsh	7%
	Randi White	6%
	Victor Guidice	4%
Чи ухвалять одноразовий податок на багатство мільярдерів на виборах у Каліфорнії 2026 року?	Yes	37%

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner Thomas Massie

61%

Ed Gallrein

39%

Переможець виборів губернатора Аляски Том Бегіч

Джонатан Крейсс-Томкінс

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Alex Bores

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

56%

Dan Sullivan

35%

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

78%

Texas Senate Election Winner Republican

23%

55%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

46%

86%

Aaron Baker

Dan Bilzerian

NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner Denise Powell

100%

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner Claire Valdez

TX-19 Republican Primary Winner Tom Sell

98%

Abraham Enriquez

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner Beth Davidson

43%

Cait Conley

39%

Effie Phillips-Staley

26%

Peter Chatzky

North Carolina Senate Election Winner Democrat

82%

Minnesota Governor Election Winner Democrat

95%

PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner Chris Rabb

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner Jackson Lahmeyer

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner Jon Bonck

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Koh

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

Florida Senate Election Winner Republican

84%

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner Blake Miguez

Colorado Senate Election Winner Democrat

92%

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner Ritchie Torres

92%

Michael Blake

Dalourny Nemorin

TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner Christian Menefee

75%

Al Green

10%

Kansas Senate Election Winner Republican

84%

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner Bob Brooks

87%

Lamont McClure

Carol Obando-Derstine

Ryan Crosswell

Georgia Senate Election Winner Democrat

84%

GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner Jasmine Clark

IA-02 Republican Primary Winner Joe Mitchell

95%

Charlie McClintock

KY-06 Republican Primary Winner Ralph Alvarado

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner Adriano Espaillat

71%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

28%

Oscar Romero

Mississippi Senate Election Winner Republican

90%