Прогнози та шанси проміжних виборів 2026

$6.3K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

77% шанс — ні

-22.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% шанс — ні

+4.5%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

91% шанс — так

-2.0%

$3M Обсяг

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

66% шанс — ні

+11.0%

$6.3K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

77% шанс — ні

-22.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% шанс — ні

+4.5%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

$1M Обсяг

AK Governor

58% Республіканець

$544K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$570K Обсяг

ME Senate

61% Демократ

$344K Обсяг

AK Senate

69% Демократ

+2%

$130K Обсяг

IA Senate

55% Республіканець

-4%

$1M Обсяг

AK Governor

58% Республіканець

$544K Обсяг

TX Senate

50% Демократ

$570K Обсяг

ME Senate

61% Демократ

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Всі перегони

519 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	90%
	Steve Hilton	8%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	31%
	Bernadette Wilson	24%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	16%
	Treg Taylor	7%
	David Bronson	7%
	Bill Walker	5%
	Click Bishop	4%
	Gregg Brelsford	1%
	Destry J. Payne Sr.	1%
	Nancy Dahlstrom	1%
	Jessica Faircloth	1%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Democrat	62%
	Republican	39%
Texas Senate Election Winner	Ken Paxton (R)	56%
	James Talarico (D)	42%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	70%
	Dan Sullivan	31%
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory	Gallrein 9%+	99%
	Gallrein 6-9%	1%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	88%
	Dan Bilzerian	3%
	Charles Gambaro	1%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	84%
	Republican	14%
	Independent	3%
OK-01 Republican Primary Winner	Mark Tedford	99%
	Jackson Lahmeyer	1%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Republican	66%
	Independent	27%
	Democrat	2%
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Republican	56%
	Democrat	44%
CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Melat Kiros	77%
	Diana DeGette	23%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Democrat	51%
	Republican	50%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Sherrod Brown (D)	56%
	Jon Husted (R)	44%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory	Lasher <5%	88%
	Lasher 5–10%	7%
	Lasher 10–15%	3%
	Lasher 15%+	1%
	Bores <5%	1%
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner	Daniel Keenan	48%
	Mark Lamb	36%
	Travis Grantham	2%
	Jay Feely	1%
CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Manny Rutinel	95%
	Shannon Bird	5%
Iowa Governor Election Winner	Democrat	65%
	Republican	33%
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Dan Koh	67%
	Tram Nguyen	26%
	Seth Moulton	1%
	John Beccia	1%
	Mariah Lancaster	1%
	Jamie Zahlaway Belsito	1%
	Kevin Larivee	1%
	Dominick Pangallo	1%
	Beth Andres-Beck	1%
	Rick Jakious	1%
	Diann Slavit Baylis	1%
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner	Blake Miguez	7%
	Michael Echols	6%
	Misti Cordell	4%
	Michael Mebruer	4%
	Samuel Wyatt	2%
Georgia Governor Election Winner	Republican	51%
	Democrat	48%
Florida Senate Election Winner	Republican	82%
	Democrat	17%
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner	Democrat	95%
	Republican	5%
FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner	Lois Frankel	92%
	Jared Moskowitz	2%
	Oliver Adams Larkin	2%
	Victoria Doyle	2%
MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Matt Little	82%
	Matt Klein	11%
	Kaela Berg	5%
Kansas Senate Election Winner	Republican	83%
	Democrat	18%
MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner	Donavan McKinney	85%
	Shri Thanedar	14%
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Ilhan Omar	95%
	Latonya Reeves	4%
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner	Catalina Lauf	42%
	Jim Schwartzel	28%
	Jim Oberweis	24%
	Bob Rommel	4%
	Madison Cawthorn	3%
	Spencer Roach	2%
Vermont Governor Election Winner	Republican	87%
	Democrat	14%
MN-02 Republican Primary Winner	Eric Pratt	97%
CO-03 Democratic Primary Winner	Alex Kelloff	53%
	Dwayne Romero	48%
MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Bridget Brink	81%
	William Lawrence	14%
	Matt Maasdam	5%
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Cori Bush	53%
	Wesley Bell	47%
New Jersey Senate Election Winner	Democrat	95%
	Republican	6%
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Stefany Shaheen	72%
	Maura Sullivan	23%
	Heath Howard	3%
	Carleigh Beriont	1%
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner	Republican	95%
	Democrat	6%
CO-03 Republican Primary Winner	Jeff Hurd	99%
South Carolina Governor Election Winner	Republican	93%
	Democrat	7%
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner	Justin Pearson	84%
	DeVante Hill	5%
	Steve Cohen	3%
	London Lamar	3%
MI-10 Republican Primary Winner	Mike Bouchard	79%
	Robert Lulgjuraj	19%
	Casey Armitage	2%
	Justin Kirk	1%
Louisiana Senate Election Winner	Republican	93%
	Democrat	8%
CO-05 Democratic Primary Winner	Jessica Killin	94%
	Joe Reagan	6%
Kentucky Senate Election Winner	Andy Barr (R)	94%
	Charles Booker (D)	6%
Alaska At-Large Primary Winners	Matt Schultz	96%
	Nick Begich III	95%
	Bill Hill	90%
	John Williams	37%
	Gavin Solomon	25%
	Matthew "Bronco" Williams	24%
Arkansas Senate Election Winner	Republican	94%
	Democrat	4%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Elijah Manley	49%
	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	48%
	Rudy Moise	1%
	Dale Holness	1%
	Maisha Williams	1%
Nebraska Governor Election Winner	Republican	83%
	Democrat	16%
MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner	Stephen Lynch	62%
	Patrick Roath	31%
	Andrew Zylberfink	2%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	35%

90%

Steve Hilton

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

31%

Bernadette Wilson

24%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Maine Senate Election Winner Democrat

62%

Texas Senate Election Winner Ken Paxton (R)

39%

56%

James Talarico (D)

42%

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

70%

Dan Sullivan

31%

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory Gallrein 9%+

99%

Gallrein 6-9%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

88%

Dan Bilzerian

Charles Gambaro

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner Mark Tedford

99%

Jackson Lahmeyer

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican

Iowa Senate Election Winner Republican

56%

CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Melat Kiros

44%

77%

Diana DeGette

23%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Democrat

51%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Sherrod Brown (D)

50%

56%

Jon Husted (R)

44%

NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory Lasher <5%

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner Daniel Keenan

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner Manny Rutinel

Iowa Governor Election Winner Democrat

Shannon Bird

65%

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner Dan Koh

33%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner Blake Miguez

Georgia Governor Election Winner Republican

51%

Florida Senate Election Winner Republican

48%

82%

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner Democrat

17%

FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner Lois Frankel

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner Matt Little

Kansas Senate Election Winner Republican

83%

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner Donavan McKinney

18%

85%

Shri Thanedar

14%

MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner Ilhan Omar

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner Catalina Lauf

Latonya Reeves

Vermont Governor Election Winner Republican

87%

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner Eric Pratt

14%

97%

CO-03 Democratic Primary Winner Alex Kelloff

53%

Dwayne Romero

48%

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner Bridget Brink

MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner Cori Bush

53%

Wesley Bell

47%

New Jersey Senate Election Winner Democrat

NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner Stefany Shaheen

Oklahoma Senate Election Winner Republican

CO-03 Republican Primary Winner Jeff Hurd

99%

South Carolina Governor Election Winner Republican

93%

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner Justin Pearson

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner Mike Bouchard

Louisiana Senate Election Winner Republican

93%

CO-05 Democratic Primary Winner Jessica Killin

94%

Joe Reagan

Kentucky Senate Election Winner Andy Barr (R)

94%

Charles Booker (D)

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners Matt Schultz

Matthew "Bronco" Williams

24%

Arkansas Senate Election Winner Republican

94%

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Elijah Manley

49%

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

Nebraska Governor Election Winner Republican

83%