Шанси та прогнози проміжних виборів 2026

$7.2K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

96% шанс — ні

-2.5%

$6.2K Обсяг

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

61% шанс — ні

-31.0%

$3.2K Обсяг

Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

79% шанс — так

+26.5%

$1.9K Обсяг

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

69% шанс — ні

-2.5%

$1.5K Обсяг

Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?

91% шанс — так

+25.5%

$1.5K Обсяг

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

55% шанс — так

+0.0%

НОВЕ

Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

97% шанс — так

+3.7%

НОВЕ

Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

53% шанс — так

-1.5%

НОВЕ

Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

67% шанс — так

+2.5%

$4M Обсяг

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

68% шанс — ні

+2.0%

$7.2K Обсяг

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

96% шанс — ні

-2.5%

$6.2K Обсяг

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

61% шанс — ні

-31.0%

Найбільші перегони

найважливіші ринки

AK Governor

52% Демократ

+10%

$740K Обсяг

TX Senate

52% Демократ

ME Senate

69% Демократ

$393K Обсяг

AK Senate

51% Демократ

+0%

$322K Обсяг

MI Senate

57% Демократ

+0%

AK Governor

52% Демократ

+10%

$740K Обсяг

TX Senate

52% Демократ

ME Senate

69% Демократ

California Governor Election Winner Xavier Becerra

Всі перегони

583 ринків

Перегони

Штат

Фав

Рівень

Показано 25 з 50 ринків

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026

Шанси проміжних виборів 2026 — ринкові шанси наживо
Ринок	Головний претендент та номінанти	Ринкові шанси наживо
California Governor Election Winner	Xavier Becerra	92%
	Steve Hilton	7%
Maine Senate Election Winner	Troy Jackson (D)	70%
	Susan Collins (R)	31%
Alaska Governor Election Winner	Tom Begich	50%
	Bernadette Wilson	29%
	Treg Taylor	9%
	Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins	7%
	David Bronson	4%
	Click Bishop	2%
	Nancy Dahlstrom	1%
	Mary Peltola	1%
	Matt Claman	1%
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D)	52%
	Ken Paxton (R)	48%
Alaska Senate Election Winner	Mary Peltola	52%
	Dan Sullivan	49%
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D)	59%
	Mike Rogers (R)	43%
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner	Randy Fine	97%
	Alexandra Van Cleef	1%
	Aaron Baker	1%
	Dan Bilzerian	1%
	Charles Gambaro	1%
Michigan Governor Election Winner	Democrat	84%
	Republican	15%
	Independent	1%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Pete Ricketts (R)	72%
	Independent	28%
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner	Democrat	78%
	Republican	23%
Ohio Senate Election Winner	Sherrod Brown (D)	52%
	Jon Husted (R)	49%
Ohio Governor Election Winner	Amy Acton (D)	52%
	Vivek Ramaswamy (R)	45%
Montana Senate Election Winner	Republican	91%
	Independent	6%
Georgia Senate Election Winner	Jon Ossoff (D)	92%
	Mike Collins (R)	8%
Florida Senate Election Winner	Republican	87%
	Democrat	13%
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner	Ben Butler	52%
	Thomas Chalifoux	28%
	Dan Green	11%
	Jorge Martinez	5%
Minnesota Governor Election Winner	Democrat	93%
	Republican	5%
Arizona Governor Election Winner	Democrat	88%
	Republican	13%
Nevada Governor Election Winner	Joe Lombardo (R)	63%
	Aaron Ford (D)	35%
WI-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Brad Smith	96%
	Amanda Bell	3%
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner	Catalina Lauf	44%
	Jim Schwartzel	40%
	Jim Oberweis	12%
	Madison Cawthorn	3%
	Bob Rommel	2%
	Spencer Roach	1%
FL-22 Republican Primary Winner	Michael Carbonara	45%
	David Burck	38%
	Belinda Keiser	13%
	Casey Askar	6%
FL-02 Republican Primary Winner	Austin Rogers	57%
	Keith Gross	33%
	Evan Power	3%
	Jim Norton	2%
FL-25 Democratic Primary Winner	Jared Moskowitz	89%
	Oliver Larkin	13%
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner	Democrat	87%
	Republican	13%
Minnesota Senate Election Winner	Democrat	93%
	Republican	8%
FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	92%
	Elijah Manley	9%
Idaho Senate Election Winner	Republican	95%
	Democrat	5%
FL-14 Republican Primary Winner	Kevin Steele	62%
	Mike Beltran	33%
WY-AL Republican Primary Winner	Steve Friess	54%
	Chuck Gray	39%
	Kevin Christensen	5%
	Bo Biteman	2%
	Reid Rasner	2%
	Jillian Balow	1%
	Frank Chapman	1%
	David Giralt	1%
	John Romero-Martinez	1%
FL-11 Republican Primary Winner	Joe Strada	66%
	Carey Baker	25%
	Tim Wilkins	8%
FL-07 Republican Primary Winner	Ryan Elijah	58%
	Cory Mills	41%
MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory	McKinney <4%	51%
	McKinney 4–8%	37%
	Thanedar <4%	1%
FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner	Yen Bailey	30%
	Nic Zateslo	30%
	Amanda Green	27%
	Brice Barnes	9%
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner	Republican	80%
	Democrat	19%
Kansas Governor Election Winner	Republican	59%
	Democrat	40%
Nebraska Governor Election Winner	Republican	85%
	Democrat	16%
MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner	Richard Neal	90%
	Jeromie Whalen	7%
FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner	Bale Dalton	95%
	Marialana Kinter	5%
	Alan Grayson	1%
FL-04 Democratic Primary Winner	LaShonda "L.J." Holloway	77%
	Michael Kirwan	22%
	Brit Robinson	1%
FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner	Eric Yonce	70%
	Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera	28%
	Robert Cooper	1%
	Steve Morgan	1%
MA-04 Democratic Primary Winner	Jake Auchincloss	93%
	Jason Poulos	5%
Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory	Republican 25-30%	21%
	Republican 30-35%	14%
	Republican 10-15%	14%
	Republican 20-25%	9%
	Republican 5-10%	9%
	Republican 0-5%	9%
	Republican 35%+	8%
	Republican 15-20%	8%
	Democrat Wins	5%
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory	Republican 15-20%	20%
	Republican 20-25%	16%
	Republican 10-15%	16%
	Republican 5-10%	16%
	Republican 25-30%	14%
	Republican 35%+	10%
	Republican 30-35%	9%
	Republican 0-5%	9%
	Democrat Wins	7%
Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory	Republican 10-15%	24%
	Republican 40%+	14%
	Republican 30-35%	14%
	Republican 25-30%	14%
	Republican 35-40%	13%
	Republican 15-20%	10%
	Republican 20-25%	8%
	Republican 5-10%	8%
	Republican 0-5%	4%
	Democrat Wins	3%
Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory	Republican 15-20%	18%
	Republican 20-25%	16%
	Republican 10-15%	15%
	Republican 35%+	14%
	Republican 30-35%	14%
	Republican 25-30%	14%
	Republican 5-10%	10%
	Republican 0-5%	9%
	Democrat Wins	6%
Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory	Democrat 6-9%	19%
	Democrat 15-18%	14%
	Democrat 18%+	14%
	Democrat 3-6%	13%
	Democrat 9-12%	13%
	Democrat 0-3%	12%
	Democrat 12-15%	12%
	Republican 3-6%	11%
	Republican 0-3%	9%
	Republican 6%+	7%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	33%
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?	Yes	39%

92%

Steve Hilton

Maine Senate Election Winner Troy Jackson (D)

70%

Susan Collins (R)

31%

Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Texas Senate Election Winner James Talarico (D)

Alaska Senate Election Winner Mary Peltola

Ken Paxton (R)

48%

Michigan Senate Election Winner Abdul El-Sayed (D)

Dan Sullivan

49%

59%

Mike Rogers (R)

43%

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner Randy Fine

Michigan Governor Election Winner Democrat

Nebraska Senate Election Winner Pete Ricketts (R)

72%

Independent

28%

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner Democrat

78%

Ohio Senate Election Winner Sherrod Brown (D)

23%

Ohio Governor Election Winner Amy Acton (D)

Jon Husted (R)

49%

Montana Senate Election Winner Republican

Vivek Ramaswamy (R)

45%

91%

Independent

Georgia Senate Election Winner Jon Ossoff (D)

92%

Mike Collins (R)

Florida Senate Election Winner Republican

87%

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner Ben Butler

Minnesota Governor Election Winner Democrat

93%

Arizona Governor Election Winner Democrat

88%

Nevada Governor Election Winner Joe Lombardo (R)

63%

Aaron Ford (D)

35%

WI-06 Democratic Primary Winner Brad Smith

96%

Amanda Bell

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner Catalina Lauf

FL-22 Republican Primary Winner Michael Carbonara

FL-02 Republican Primary Winner Austin Rogers

FL-25 Democratic Primary Winner Jared Moskowitz

89%

Oliver Larkin

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner Democrat

87%

Minnesota Senate Election Winner Democrat

93%

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner Debbie Wasserman Schultz

92%

Elijah Manley

Idaho Senate Election Winner Republican

95%

FL-14 Republican Primary Winner Kevin Steele

62%

Mike Beltran

33%

WY-AL Republican Primary Winner Steve Friess

FL-11 Republican Primary Winner Joe Strada

FL-07 Republican Primary Winner Ryan Elijah

58%

Cory Mills

41%

MI-13 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory McKinney <4%

FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner Yen Bailey

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner Republican

80%

Kansas Governor Election Winner Republican

19%

59%

Nebraska Governor Election Winner Republican

40%

85%