Minnesota's eight congressional districts enter the 2026 cycle evenly divided at four seats each for Democrats and Republicans. The sole notable variable remains the open MN-2 seat vacated by retiring Democrat Angie Craig, which Cook Political Report rates Likely Republican following the August 11 primaries. The remaining seven districts carry safe or solid ratings for their incumbent parties, with no battlegrounds identified by major forecasters. National generic-ballot polling showing a modest Democratic edge has not altered state-specific assessments, as Minnesota's map lacks the competitive terrain seen in prior cycles. These conditions anchor trader consensus around a hold at four Democratic seats while assigning lower probability to a net gain or further erosion.