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icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Геополітика·Trump Cabinet

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Геополітика·Trump Cabinet

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Sep 30

Oct 31

Jan 1, 2027

Sep 30

Oct 31

Jan 1, 2027

24% шанс
Polymarket

$445,574 Обс.

24% шанс
Polymarket

$445,574 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth has served as secretary of defense since his January 2025 Senate confirmation and remains in the role amid ongoing Pentagon leadership changes, including the August 2026 resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll following disputes over officer firings and promotions. President Trump has repeatedly expressed strong support for Hegseth’s alignment with administration priorities on military culture and operations, including during the Iran conflict, with White House statements emphasizing complete confidence. Recent public schedule items, such as September 2026 speeches and facility visits, reflect continued authority, while isolated Republican criticism has not produced formal removal steps. Traders appear to view these factors as outweighing internal frictions for the remainder of 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$445,574
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth has served as secretary of defense since his January 2025 Senate confirmation and remains in the role amid ongoing Pentagon leadership changes, including the August 2026 resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll following disputes over officer firings and promotions. President Trump has repeatedly expressed strong support for Hegseth’s alignment with administration priorities on military culture and operations, including during the Iran conflict, with White House statements emphasizing complete confidence. Recent public schedule items, such as September 2026 speeches and facility visits, reflect continued authority, while isolated Republican criticism has not produced formal removal steps. Traders appear to view these factors as outweighing internal frictions for the remainder of 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$445,574
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Пов'язане

icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

7%
icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

1%
icon for Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?

Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?

3%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 24% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 24¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 24%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?» згенерував $445.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?» — 24% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 24% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.