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icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Jul 31

Dec 31

Jul 31

Dec 31

24% шанс
Polymarket

$270,779 Обс.

24% шанс
Polymarket

$270,779 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pete Hegseth remains actively engaged as Secretary of Defense (now titled Secretary of War) into mid-2026, with no announced resignation or formal removal process underway.** He continues to testify on budget requests, conduct media appearances such as a June 10, 2026, briefing at MacDill Air Force Base, and participate in high-profile events including Face the Nation. President Trump’s consistent support has insulated the position despite internal Pentagon friction, including multiple senior officer firings and service secretary departures earlier in 2026. Congressional scrutiny has been largely partisan, with Democratic questioning focused on operational decisions and personnel moves, while Republican leadership has shown no coordinated effort to force a change. Trader consensus at 71% “No” for removal by December 31 aligns with the absence of acute political catalysts or institutional pressure that would overcome White House backing before year-end. Scheduled events like ongoing budget cycles and defense policy implementation further anchor expectations that the current leadership structure holds through the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$270,779
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pete Hegseth remains actively engaged as Secretary of Defense (now titled Secretary of War) into mid-2026, with no announced resignation or formal removal process underway.** He continues to testify on budget requests, conduct media appearances such as a June 10, 2026, briefing at MacDill Air Force Base, and participate in high-profile events including Face the Nation. President Trump’s consistent support has insulated the position despite internal Pentagon friction, including multiple senior officer firings and service secretary departures earlier in 2026. Congressional scrutiny has been largely partisan, with Democratic questioning focused on operational decisions and personnel moves, while Republican leadership has shown no coordinated effort to force a change. Trader consensus at 71% “No” for removal by December 31 aligns with the absence of acute political catalysts or institutional pressure that would overcome White House backing before year-end. Scheduled events like ongoing budget cycles and defense policy implementation further anchor expectations that the current leadership structure holds through the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$270,779
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 24% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 24¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 24%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?» згенерував $270.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?» — 24% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 24% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.