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icon for Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

icon for Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

12% шанс
Polymarket

$15,768 Обс.

12% шанс
Polymarket

$15,768 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has signaled ongoing interest in the 2028 Republican presidential nomination through public comments that he and his wife will evaluate a potential campaign after the November 2026 midterms. This stance aligns with his continued high visibility in national security and domestic policy roles, alongside early polling and prediction market data placing him near the top of GOP contenders alongside figures such as Marco Rubio. No official statements or actions from Vance or the administration have indicated plans to withdraw from consideration this year, and recent reporting has focused instead on intra-party positioning and midterm outcomes that could shape future calculations. Traders therefore assign an 88.5% implied probability against any announcement ruling out a 2028 bid before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Обсяг
$15,768
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice. Vice President JD Vance has signaled ongoing interest in the 2028 Republican presidential nomination through public comments that he and his wife will evaluate a potential campaign after the November 2026 midterms. This stance aligns with his continued high visibility in national security and domestic policy roles, alongside early polling and prediction market data placing him near the top of GOP contenders alongside figures such as Marco Rubio. No official statements or actions from Vance or the administration have indicated plans to withdraw from consideration this year, and recent reporting has focused instead on intra-party positioning and midterm outcomes that could shape future calculations. Traders therefore assign an 88.5% implied probability against any announcement ruling out a 2028 bid before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Обсяг
$15,768
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 12% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 12¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 12%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?» згенерував $15.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 27, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?» — 12% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 12% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.