Chiang Wan-an, the Kuomintang incumbent, holds the strongest position in the November 28 Taipei mayoral race due to his established municipal record and solid base among KMT and Taiwan People’s Party voters in a traditionally pan-Blue city. Recent TVBS polling shows his lead narrowing to eight points at 49% versus Puma Shen’s 41%, reflecting Shen’s gains among younger voters and former third-party supporters through high-visibility events like his first campaign motorcade and calls for multiple televised debates. Both camps have agreed in principle to TVBS-coordinated debates, with coordination meetings underway. Minor candidates such as Kuo Hsi register negligible support, leaving the contest centered on these two. Prediction market pricing reflects this dynamic, with traders assigning Chiang the highest implied probability amid the tightening but still favorable outlook.