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New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

icon for New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Lee Shu-chuan 78%

Su Chiao-hui 18%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Lee Shu-chuan 78%

Su Chiao-hui 18%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Lee Shu-chuan

Lee Shu-chuan

$1,354 Обс.

78%

icon for Su Chiao-hui

Su Chiao-hui

$1,069 Обс.

18%

icon for Huang Kuo-chang

Huang Kuo-chang

$745 Обс.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The KMT-TPP coordination poll in late April 2026 established Lee Shu-chuan as the joint opposition nominee for New Taipei mayor after he outperformed Taiwan People's Party Chairman Huang Kuo-chang, leading to Huang's campaign suspension and unified backing. This consolidation has positioned Lee as the clear frontrunner against Democratic Progressive Party nominee Su Chiao-hui in subsequent surveys, with traders reflecting the structural advantage of opposition unity in a race scheduled for November 28, 2026. Recent KMT candidate rallies in July have sustained momentum without introducing major shifts, while Su's candidacy remains the primary counterweight. Low probabilities for Huang and other listed contenders align with their limited viability following the alliance decision and lack of independent polling traction.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$3,168
Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The KMT-TPP coordination poll in late April 2026 established Lee Shu-chuan as the joint opposition nominee for New Taipei mayor after he outperformed Taiwan People's Party Chairman Huang Kuo-chang, leading to Huang's campaign suspension and unified backing. This consolidation has positioned Lee as the clear frontrunner against Democratic Progressive Party nominee Su Chiao-hui in subsequent surveys, with traders reflecting the structural advantage of opposition unity in a race scheduled for November 28, 2026. Recent KMT candidate rallies in July have sustained momentum without introducing major shifts, while Su's candidacy remains the primary counterweight. Low probabilities for Huang and other listed contenders align with their limited viability following the alliance decision and lack of independent polling traction.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$3,168
Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«New Taipei Mayor Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Lee Shu-chuan» з 78%, далі «Su Chiao-hui» з 18%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«New Taipei Mayor Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 14, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «New Taipei Mayor Election Winner», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «New Taipei Mayor Election Winner» — «Lee Shu-chuan» з 78%. Наступний — «Su Chiao-hui» з 18%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «New Taipei Mayor Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.