Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows Labour holding a narrow lead over National in several surveys conducted in April and May 2026, driven by falling support for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and the National-led coalition. Economic pressures, coalition tensions involving ACT and New Zealand First, and Labour’s positioning under Chris Hipkins have contributed to this shift, with the two main blocs effectively tied in rolling averages near 48 percent each. These developments underpin the current trader consensus favoring Labour as the most likely winner, while smaller parties remain marginal. Upcoming campaign events and further economic data releases could still influence the final outcome under the MMP system.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNew Zealand legislative election winner?
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party 56%
National Party 38%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
New Zealand First Party <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
38%
Labour Party
56%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Labour Party 56%
National Party 38%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
New Zealand First Party <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
$1,051 Обс.
38%
Labour Party
$1,106 Обс.
56%
Green Party
$329 Обс.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$339 Обс.
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$319 Обс.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$314 Обс.
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows Labour holding a narrow lead over National in several surveys conducted in April and May 2026, driven by falling support for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and the National-led coalition. Economic pressures, coalition tensions involving ACT and New Zealand First, and Labour’s positioning under Chris Hipkins have contributed to this shift, with the two main blocs effectively tied in rolling averages near 48 percent each. These developments underpin the current trader consensus favoring Labour as the most likely winner, while smaller parties remain marginal. Upcoming campaign events and further economic data releases could still influence the final outcome under the MMP system.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,457Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows Labour holding a narrow lead over National in several surveys conducted in April and May 2026, driven by falling support for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and the National-led coalition. Economic pressures, coalition tensions involving ACT and New Zealand First, and Labour’s positioning under Chris Hipkins have contributed to this shift, with the two main blocs effectively tied in rolling averages near 48 percent each. These developments underpin the current trader consensus favoring Labour as the most likely winner, while smaller parties remain marginal. Upcoming campaign events and further economic data releases could still influence the final outcome under the MMP system.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Обсяг
$3,457Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows Labour holding a narrow lead over National in several surveys conducted in April and May 2026, driven by falling support for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and the National-led coalition. Economic pressures, coalition tensions involving ACT and New Zealand First, and Labour’s positioning under Chris Hipkins have contributed to this shift, with the two main blocs effectively tied in rolling averages near 48 percent each. These developments underpin the current trader consensus favoring Labour as the most likely winner, while smaller parties remain marginal. Upcoming campaign events and further economic data releases could still influence the final outcome under the MMP system.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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