KMT candidates hold the edge in trader consensus for the November 28, 2026 local elections due to incumbency advantages across more of the 22 county and city magistrate posts, combined with prior seat totals and coordinated candidate arrangements. Recent polling shows narrowing margins in high-profile races such as Taipei, where DPP challenger Puma Shen has closed ground on incumbent Chiang Wan-an, and New Taipei, where DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui holds a narrow lead or statistical tie with KMT rival Lee Shu-chuan amid 19% undecided voters. Both parties have intensified ground campaigns and turnout drives, with KMT leadership emphasizing mobilization in traditional strongholds while authorities monitor potential interference. The smaller TPP holds negligible implied probability after partial cooperation breakdowns. These dynamics leave the overall seat count closely tied to final turnout patterns in the remaining campaign window.