KMT’s commanding market position stems primarily from its incumbency advantage across most of Taiwan’s 22 local executive posts combined with sustained electoral coordination with the TPP, which has produced joint candidacies in key races such as New Taipei and Chiayi. This opposition alignment, reinforced after the KMT’s 2025 leadership transition, helps consolidate anti-DPP votes in the November 28 nine-in-one contests. Recent legislative moves by the KMT-TPP majority to place national referendums on nuclear power and absentee voting on the same ballot further signal unified momentum. The DPP, holding just five seats from the 2022 cycle, faces structural headwinds despite controlling the presidency. Scenarios that could narrow KMT’s lead include a breakdown in opposition candidate coordination that splits the vote or a late surge in DPP turnout driven by national events.