Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang (KMT) incumbent, holds a dominant 89% implied probability as traders assess his strong position ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. He survived a 2024 recall vote with a clear majority and maintains a lead in recent polling against the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) challenger Tung Tzu-wei, despite some surveys showing a narrower margin and elevated undecided voters. KMT party resources and broad candidate nominations across races reinforce Hsieh’s incumbency advantage and path to re-election in Keelung. Tung Tzu-wei’s 8% price reflects the DPP’s competitive but secondary standing in this contest, with limited recent developments altering the overall outlook. The numerous placeholder outcomes at 50% and “Other” at 50% capture uncertainty around additional minor candidates or late shifts before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
89%
Tung Tzu-wei
6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
$875 Обс.
89%
Tung Tzu-wei
$315 Обс.
6%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang (KMT) incumbent, holds a dominant 89% implied probability as traders assess his strong position ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. He survived a 2024 recall vote with a clear majority and maintains a lead in recent polling against the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) challenger Tung Tzu-wei, despite some surveys showing a narrower margin and elevated undecided voters. KMT party resources and broad candidate nominations across races reinforce Hsieh’s incumbency advantage and path to re-election in Keelung. Tung Tzu-wei’s 8% price reflects the DPP’s competitive but secondary standing in this contest, with limited recent developments altering the overall outlook. The numerous placeholder outcomes at 50% and “Other” at 50% capture uncertainty around additional minor candidates or late shifts before voting.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,190Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang (KMT) incumbent, holds a dominant 89% implied probability as traders assess his strong position ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. He survived a 2024 recall vote with a clear majority and maintains a lead in recent polling against the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) challenger Tung Tzu-wei, despite some surveys showing a narrower margin and elevated undecided voters. KMT party resources and broad candidate nominations across races reinforce Hsieh’s incumbency advantage and path to re-election in Keelung. Tung Tzu-wei’s 8% price reflects the DPP’s competitive but secondary standing in this contest, with limited recent developments altering the overall outlook. The numerous placeholder outcomes at 50% and “Other” at 50% capture uncertainty around additional minor candidates or late shifts before voting.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$1,190Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang (KMT) incumbent, holds a dominant 89% implied probability as traders assess his strong position ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. He survived a 2024 recall vote with a clear majority and maintains a lead in recent polling against the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) challenger Tung Tzu-wei, despite some surveys showing a narrower margin and elevated undecided voters. KMT party resources and broad candidate nominations across races reinforce Hsieh’s incumbency advantage and path to re-election in Keelung. Tung Tzu-wei’s 8% price reflects the DPP’s competitive but secondary standing in this contest, with limited recent developments altering the overall outlook. The numerous placeholder outcomes at 50% and “Other” at 50% capture uncertainty around additional minor candidates or late shifts before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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