Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee who secured the party's Kaohsiung mayoral primary in January 2026, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to consistent polling advantages over Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Multiple surveys through mid-2026 show Lai ahead across districts and demographics, reflecting the DPP's organizational strength in the city and Ko's prior unsuccessful 2022 bid. Recent developments include narrow leads in August polls and statements from President Lai Ching-te highlighting potential external interference risks ahead of the November local elections. Lower-probability options such as Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua remain sidelined after the primary process, while the overall field underscores limited viable challengers in the current cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLai Jui-lung 80%
Ko Chih-en 8.7%
Hsu Chih-chieh 8%
Chiu Yi-ying 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Lai Jui-lung
80%
Ko Chih-en
9%
Hsu Chih-chieh
8%
Chiu Yi-ying
7%
Lin Tai-hua
5%
Chang Ching
1%
Lai Jui-lung 80%
Ko Chih-en 8.7%
Hsu Chih-chieh 8%
Chiu Yi-ying 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Lai Jui-lung
$1,025 Обс.
80%
Ko Chih-en
$71 Обс.
9%
Hsu Chih-chieh
$115 Обс.
8%
Chiu Yi-ying
$61 Обс.
7%
Lin Tai-hua
$63 Обс.
5%
Chang Ching
$62 Обс.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee who secured the party's Kaohsiung mayoral primary in January 2026, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to consistent polling advantages over Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Multiple surveys through mid-2026 show Lai ahead across districts and demographics, reflecting the DPP's organizational strength in the city and Ko's prior unsuccessful 2022 bid. Recent developments include narrow leads in August polls and statements from President Lai Ching-te highlighting potential external interference risks ahead of the November local elections. Lower-probability options such as Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua remain sidelined after the primary process, while the overall field underscores limited viable challengers in the current cycle.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,396Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee who secured the party's Kaohsiung mayoral primary in January 2026, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to consistent polling advantages over Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Multiple surveys through mid-2026 show Lai ahead across districts and demographics, reflecting the DPP's organizational strength in the city and Ko's prior unsuccessful 2022 bid. Recent developments include narrow leads in August polls and statements from President Lai Ching-te highlighting potential external interference risks ahead of the November local elections. Lower-probability options such as Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua remain sidelined after the primary process, while the overall field underscores limited viable challengers in the current cycle.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$1,396Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee who secured the party's Kaohsiung mayoral primary in January 2026, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus due to consistent polling advantages over Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Multiple surveys through mid-2026 show Lai ahead across districts and demographics, reflecting the DPP's organizational strength in the city and Ko's prior unsuccessful 2022 bid. Recent developments include narrow leads in August polls and statements from President Lai Ching-te highlighting potential external interference risks ahead of the November local elections. Lower-probability options such as Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua remain sidelined after the primary process, while the overall field underscores limited viable challengers in the current cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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