Javier Milei’s position as incumbent heading into the October 2027 vote underpins his 51.5% trader consensus, reflecting his party’s stronger congressional bench after the 2025 midterms and progress on fiscal balance and inflation reduction from prior crisis levels. Axel Kicillof’s 40% share tracks Peronist efforts to consolidate opposition support around the Buenos Aires governor amid Milei’s approval decline to the mid-30s, driven by persistent inflation above 3% monthly, wage pressures, unemployment concerns, and recent government-linked scandals. Fragmented alternatives such as Sergio Massa, Mauricio Macri, and others remain below 5% due to limited unified backing and voter focus on the binary contest. Upcoming legislative sessions and economic data releases through late 2026 could shift these implied probabilities before formal campaigning begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJavier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 5.3%
Myriam Bregman 1.5%
$524,776 Обс.
$524,776 Обс.

Javier Milei
52%

Axel Kicillof
40%

Sergio Massa
5%

Myriam Bregman
1%

Dante Gebel
1%

Juan Grabois
1%

Victoria Villarruel
1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%
Javier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 5.3%
Myriam Bregman 1.5%
$524,776 Обс.
$524,776 Обс.

Javier Milei
52%

Axel Kicillof
40%

Sergio Massa
5%

Myriam Bregman
1%

Dante Gebel
1%

Juan Grabois
1%

Victoria Villarruel
1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Ринок відкрито: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Javier Milei’s position as incumbent heading into the October 2027 vote underpins his 51.5% trader consensus, reflecting his party’s stronger congressional bench after the 2025 midterms and progress on fiscal balance and inflation reduction from prior crisis levels. Axel Kicillof’s 40% share tracks Peronist efforts to consolidate opposition support around the Buenos Aires governor amid Milei’s approval decline to the mid-30s, driven by persistent inflation above 3% monthly, wage pressures, unemployment concerns, and recent government-linked scandals. Fragmented alternatives such as Sergio Massa, Mauricio Macri, and others remain below 5% due to limited unified backing and voter focus on the binary contest. Upcoming legislative sessions and economic data releases through late 2026 could shift these implied probabilities before formal campaigning begins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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