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icon for Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

icon for Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

5% шанс
Polymarket

$164,517 Обс.

5% шанс
Polymarket

$164,517 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Javier Milei’s position as Argentina’s president remains secure through the end of his term in December 2027, underpinning the 93.4% trader consensus against early removal. His La Libertad Avanza party expanded its congressional representation after the October 2025 midterms, raising the threshold for any impeachment effort that would require broad opposition majorities. The fragmented opposition has struggled to unify around a credible alternative, while key economic indicators—including a balanced budget, easing inflation trends into mid-2026, and a Fitch rating upgrade—have reduced immediate pressures despite earlier approval dips into the mid-30s. No major institutional challenges or advancing scandals have emerged to alter this outlook.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$164,517
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Javier Milei’s position as Argentina’s president remains secure through the end of his term in December 2027, underpinning the 93.4% trader consensus against early removal. His La Libertad Avanza party expanded its congressional representation after the October 2025 midterms, raising the threshold for any impeachment effort that would require broad opposition majorities. The fragmented opposition has struggled to unify around a credible alternative, while key economic indicators—including a balanced budget, easing inflation trends into mid-2026, and a Fitch rating upgrade—have reduced immediate pressures despite earlier approval dips into the mid-30s. No major institutional challenges or advancing scandals have emerged to alter this outlook.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$164,517
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 5% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 5¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 5%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?» згенерував $164.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 5, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?» — 5% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 5% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.