Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,490, faces continued upward pressure through year-end 2026 due to the central bank's inflation-linked crawling band, which widens monthly at roughly the prior period's inflation rate (around 2–3% recently). This policy, in place since early 2026, prioritizes reserve accumulation and debt servicing amid projected 2026 inflation of 25–30% while avoiding sharp real appreciation. With roughly 4.5 months remaining, the band’s mechanics imply a trajectory toward or above 1,600, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability for that bracket. Key near-term influences include fiscal discipline, export-driven reserve inflows, and any acceleration in monthly price data that could steepen the crawl.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1600.00+ 59%
1550.00–1599.99 12.6%
1500.00–1549.99 12.5%
1450.00–1499.99 5.2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<1250.00
3%
1250.00–1299.99
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
4%
1450.00–1499.99
5%
1500.00–1549.99
13%
1550.00–1599.99
13%
1600.00+
65%
1600.00+ 59%
1550.00–1599.99 12.6%
1500.00–1549.99 12.5%
1450.00–1499.99 5.2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<1250.00
$536 Обс.
3%
1250.00–1299.99
$790 Обс.
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
$677 Обс.
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
$730 Обс.
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
$1,239 Обс.
4%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,264 Обс.
5%
1500.00–1549.99
$1,171 Обс.
13%
1550.00–1599.99
$694 Обс.
13%
1600.00+
$1,902 Обс.
65%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,490, faces continued upward pressure through year-end 2026 due to the central bank's inflation-linked crawling band, which widens monthly at roughly the prior period's inflation rate (around 2–3% recently). This policy, in place since early 2026, prioritizes reserve accumulation and debt servicing amid projected 2026 inflation of 25–30% while avoiding sharp real appreciation. With roughly 4.5 months remaining, the band’s mechanics imply a trajectory toward or above 1,600, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability for that bracket. Key near-term influences include fiscal discipline, export-driven reserve inflows, and any acceleration in monthly price data that could steepen the crawl.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,003Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,490, faces continued upward pressure through year-end 2026 due to the central bank's inflation-linked crawling band, which widens monthly at roughly the prior period's inflation rate (around 2–3% recently). This policy, in place since early 2026, prioritizes reserve accumulation and debt servicing amid projected 2026 inflation of 25–30% while avoiding sharp real appreciation. With roughly 4.5 months remaining, the band’s mechanics imply a trajectory toward or above 1,600, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability for that bracket. Key near-term influences include fiscal discipline, export-driven reserve inflows, and any acceleration in monthly price data that could steepen the crawl.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$9,003Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,490, faces continued upward pressure through year-end 2026 due to the central bank's inflation-linked crawling band, which widens monthly at roughly the prior period's inflation rate (around 2–3% recently). This policy, in place since early 2026, prioritizes reserve accumulation and debt servicing amid projected 2026 inflation of 25–30% while avoiding sharp real appreciation. With roughly 4.5 months remaining, the band’s mechanics imply a trajectory toward or above 1,600, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability for that bracket. Key near-term influences include fiscal discipline, export-driven reserve inflows, and any acceleration in monthly price data that could steepen the crawl.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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