Trader consensus reflected in the leading sub-1700 brackets aligns with the latest Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM) median of ARS 1,630 and FocusEconomics consensus near ARS 1,645 for December 2026. The BCRA’s inflation-indexed exchange-rate band, currently with a ceiling above ARS 1,900, has supported gradual depreciation consistent with projected 2026 inflation of 18–30 percent. Recent 2027 budget assumptions targeting roughly ARS 1,600 by year-end, alongside strong agricultural and energy exports aiding BCRA reserve accumulation, have reinforced expectations of contained movement. Elevated year-to-date inflation and lingering dollar demand introduce modest upside risk, yet market-implied odds continue to price a controlled path absent major policy shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$21,958 Обс.
$21,958 Обс.
<1600.00
48%
1600.00–1699.99
35%
1700.00–1799.99
9%
1800.00–1899.99
6%
1900.00–1999.99
19%
2000.00+
4%
$21,958 Обс.
$21,958 Обс.
<1600.00
48%
1600.00–1699.99
35%
1700.00–1799.99
9%
1800.00–1899.99
6%
1900.00–1999.99
19%
2000.00+
4%
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflected in the leading sub-1700 brackets aligns with the latest Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM) median of ARS 1,630 and FocusEconomics consensus near ARS 1,645 for December 2026. The BCRA’s inflation-indexed exchange-rate band, currently with a ceiling above ARS 1,900, has supported gradual depreciation consistent with projected 2026 inflation of 18–30 percent. Recent 2027 budget assumptions targeting roughly ARS 1,600 by year-end, alongside strong agricultural and energy exports aiding BCRA reserve accumulation, have reinforced expectations of contained movement. Elevated year-to-date inflation and lingering dollar demand introduce modest upside risk, yet market-implied odds continue to price a controlled path absent major policy shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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