Trader sentiment on Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 reflects consensus expectations for gradual depreciation to roughly 1,630–1,645 under the inflation-indexed exchange-rate band. Recent monthly inflation has eased to 1.7 percent, supporting BCRA reserve accumulation and a narrow official-parallel gap near 2 percent. FocusEconomics and the latest REM survey embed this path, with year-end projections implying roughly 13 percent annual weakening—well below projected 2026 inflation near 29–30 percent. Key swing factors include the pace of disinflation, fiscal execution ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, and any adjustments to the crawl rate or band ceiling. The closely matched leading brackets underscore uncertainty over whether depreciation stays contained below 1,600 or edges into the low 1,600s by December.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$21,958 Обс.
$21,958 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
43%
1600.00–1699.99
34%
1700.00–1799.99
9%
1800.00–1899.99
6%
1900.00–1999.99
14%
2000.00+
4%
$21,958 Обс.
$21,958 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
$2,475 Обс.
43%
1600.00–1699.99
$2,030 Обс.
34%
1700.00–1799.99
$2,203 Обс.
9%
1800.00–1899.99
$1,702 Обс.
6%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,772 Обс.
14%
2000.00+
$1,777 Обс.
4%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 reflects consensus expectations for gradual depreciation to roughly 1,630–1,645 under the inflation-indexed exchange-rate band. Recent monthly inflation has eased to 1.7 percent, supporting BCRA reserve accumulation and a narrow official-parallel gap near 2 percent. FocusEconomics and the latest REM survey embed this path, with year-end projections implying roughly 13 percent annual weakening—well below projected 2026 inflation near 29–30 percent. Key swing factors include the pace of disinflation, fiscal execution ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, and any adjustments to the crawl rate or band ceiling. The closely matched leading brackets underscore uncertainty over whether depreciation stays contained below 1,600 or edges into the low 1,600s by December.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,958Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 reflects consensus expectations for gradual depreciation to roughly 1,630–1,645 under the inflation-indexed exchange-rate band. Recent monthly inflation has eased to 1.7 percent, supporting BCRA reserve accumulation and a narrow official-parallel gap near 2 percent. FocusEconomics and the latest REM survey embed this path, with year-end projections implying roughly 13 percent annual weakening—well below projected 2026 inflation near 29–30 percent. Key swing factors include the pace of disinflation, fiscal execution ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, and any adjustments to the crawl rate or band ceiling. The closely matched leading brackets underscore uncertainty over whether depreciation stays contained below 1,600 or edges into the low 1,600s by December.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$21,958Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 reflects consensus expectations for gradual depreciation to roughly 1,630–1,645 under the inflation-indexed exchange-rate band. Recent monthly inflation has eased to 1.7 percent, supporting BCRA reserve accumulation and a narrow official-parallel gap near 2 percent. FocusEconomics and the latest REM survey embed this path, with year-end projections implying roughly 13 percent annual weakening—well below projected 2026 inflation near 29–30 percent. Key swing factors include the pace of disinflation, fiscal execution ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, and any adjustments to the crawl rate or band ceiling. The closely matched leading brackets underscore uncertainty over whether depreciation stays contained below 1,600 or edges into the low 1,600s by December.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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