Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for EUR/USD reaching extreme levels in 2026, driven by narrowing monetary policy divergence after Eurozone CPI surged to 3.0% in April—its highest since September 2023—prompting the ECB to hold key rates steady on April 30 amid sticky inflation pressures. The Fed similarly maintained its federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% on April 29, marking the third hold with notable internal dissent signaling potential pauses in easing. With spot EUR/USD trading near 1.165 as of May 15, down from mid-May highs around 1.177, markets price in balanced US-Eurozone growth outlooks and Treasury yields holding firm. Key catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, ECB's July 22-23 policy review, and May nonfarm payrolls data, which could shift rate path expectations and volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$73,587 Обс.
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
11%
↑ 1.30
30%
↑ 1.26
28%
↑ 1.24
59%
↑ 1.22
54%
↑ 1.20
65%
↓ 1.14
75%
↓ 1.12
38%
↓ 1.10
19%
↓ 1.05
10%
↓ 1.00
5%
$73,587 Обс.
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
11%
↑ 1.30
30%
↑ 1.26
28%
↑ 1.24
59%
↑ 1.22
54%
↑ 1.20
65%
↓ 1.14
75%
↓ 1.12
38%
↓ 1.10
19%
↓ 1.05
10%
↓ 1.00
5%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Ринок відкрито: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution for EUR/USD reaching extreme levels in 2026, driven by narrowing monetary policy divergence after Eurozone CPI surged to 3.0% in April—its highest since September 2023—prompting the ECB to hold key rates steady on April 30 amid sticky inflation pressures. The Fed similarly maintained its federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% on April 29, marking the third hold with notable internal dissent signaling potential pauses in easing. With spot EUR/USD trading near 1.165 as of May 15, down from mid-May highs around 1.177, markets price in balanced US-Eurozone growth outlooks and Treasury yields holding firm. Key catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, ECB's July 22-23 policy review, and May nonfarm payrolls data, which could shift rate path expectations and volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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