SpaceX's dominant 89.5% implied probability stems from its June 2026 IPO, which priced at $135 per share for a record $1.75–2 trillion market capitalization and raised over $74 billion—surpassing Saudi Aramco's prior benchmark—driven by Starlink revenue growth, Starship progress, and the February merger incorporating xAI's AI infrastructure at a combined $1.25 trillion private valuation. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and the company's scale relative to peers. Other candidates trail due to lower reported valuations, such as Anthropic near $965 billion and OpenAI at $852 billion following their funding rounds and confidential S-1 filings. Key upcoming catalysts include additional AI-sector IPO timelines and any post-listing performance that could influence 2026 market-cap comparisons.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНайбільше IPO за ринковою капіталізацією у 2026 році?
Найбільше IPO за ринковою капіталізацією у 2026 році?
SpaceX 90%
Anthropic 9.2%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,193,482 Обс.
$5,193,482 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
90%
Anthropic
9%
OpenAI
1%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 90%
Anthropic 9.2%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,193,482 Обс.
$5,193,482 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$601,131 Обс.
90%
Anthropic
$716,225 Обс.
9%
OpenAI
$460,493 Обс.
1%
Discord
$176,728 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$208,389 Обс.
<1%
Stripe
$128,175 Обс.
<1%
Kraken
$654,953 Обс.
<1%
SHEIN
$580,615 Обс.
<1%
Waymo
$316,150 Обс.
<1%
Revolut
$633,436 Обс.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$104,136 Обс.
<1%
Databricks
$613,052 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's dominant 89.5% implied probability stems from its June 2026 IPO, which priced at $135 per share for a record $1.75–2 trillion market capitalization and raised over $74 billion—surpassing Saudi Aramco's prior benchmark—driven by Starlink revenue growth, Starship progress, and the February merger incorporating xAI's AI infrastructure at a combined $1.25 trillion private valuation. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and the company's scale relative to peers. Other candidates trail due to lower reported valuations, such as Anthropic near $965 billion and OpenAI at $852 billion following their funding rounds and confidential S-1 filings. Key upcoming catalysts include additional AI-sector IPO timelines and any post-listing performance that could influence 2026 market-cap comparisons.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,193,482Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's dominant 89.5% implied probability stems from its June 2026 IPO, which priced at $135 per share for a record $1.75–2 trillion market capitalization and raised over $74 billion—surpassing Saudi Aramco's prior benchmark—driven by Starlink revenue growth, Starship progress, and the February merger incorporating xAI's AI infrastructure at a combined $1.25 trillion private valuation. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and the company's scale relative to peers. Other candidates trail due to lower reported valuations, such as Anthropic near $965 billion and OpenAI at $852 billion following their funding rounds and confidential S-1 filings. Key upcoming catalysts include additional AI-sector IPO timelines and any post-listing performance that could influence 2026 market-cap comparisons.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$5,193,482Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's dominant 89.5% implied probability stems from its June 2026 IPO, which priced at $135 per share for a record $1.75–2 trillion market capitalization and raised over $74 billion—surpassing Saudi Aramco's prior benchmark—driven by Starlink revenue growth, Starship progress, and the February merger incorporating xAI's AI infrastructure at a combined $1.25 trillion private valuation. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and the company's scale relative to peers. Other candidates trail due to lower reported valuations, such as Anthropic near $965 billion and OpenAI at $852 billion following their funding rounds and confidential S-1 filings. Key upcoming catalysts include additional AI-sector IPO timelines and any post-listing performance that could influence 2026 market-cap comparisons.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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