SpaceX's iterative V3 Starship flights, including Flight 13's successful Starlink V3 deployment, in-space Raptor relight, and intact Ship splashdown with improved heat shield performance, have driven trader consensus toward a slim majority for full reusability before 2028. Booster tower catches have validated rapid first-stage recovery, yet the upper stage has not completed a tower catch or demonstrated reflight, leaving the market near even odds amid execution risks on timelines. Recent FAA approvals for Flight 14 on September 22, expanded landing zones, and Musk's projections for Ship reflight within months or daily operations in 2027 highlight near-term catalysts that could shift sentiment if orbital profiles and catch attempts succeed or encounter delays.