Ongoing US sanctions, naval blockade, and restrictions on Iranian oil exports have driven the rial to record free-market lows near 2.2 million per dollar in recent weeks, reflecting sharply reduced foreign currency inflows and elevated inflation. Trader consensus splits evenly between sub-2.0 million and 2.5-3.0 million outcomes at end-December, underscoring uncertainty over whether Central Bank interventions, diplomatic shifts, or further isolation measures will stabilize or accelerate depreciation. Escalation in hostilities or sustained export curbs could push rates higher, while any ceasefire or sanctions relief might support rebound. These dynamics keep probabilities balanced as markets weigh short-term volatility against structural pressures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<2.0M 28%
2.5 - 3.0M 28%
2.0 - 2.5M 16%
3.0 - 3.5M 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<2.0M
28%
2.0 - 2.5M
16%
2.5 - 3.0M
28%
3.0 - 3.5M
14%
3.5 - 4.0M
6%
4.0M+
5%
<2.0M 28%
2.5 - 3.0M 28%
2.0 - 2.5M 16%
3.0 - 3.5M 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
<2.0M
$775 Обс.
28%
2.0 - 2.5M
$60 Обс.
16%
2.5 - 3.0M
$234 Обс.
28%
3.0 - 3.5M
$65 Обс.
14%
3.5 - 4.0M
$41 Обс.
6%
4.0M+
$41 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Ongoing US sanctions, naval blockade, and restrictions on Iranian oil exports have driven the rial to record free-market lows near 2.2 million per dollar in recent weeks, reflecting sharply reduced foreign currency inflows and elevated inflation. Trader consensus splits evenly between sub-2.0 million and 2.5-3.0 million outcomes at end-December, underscoring uncertainty over whether Central Bank interventions, diplomatic shifts, or further isolation measures will stabilize or accelerate depreciation. Escalation in hostilities or sustained export curbs could push rates higher, while any ceasefire or sanctions relief might support rebound. These dynamics keep probabilities balanced as markets weigh short-term volatility against structural pressures.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,216Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Ongoing US sanctions, naval blockade, and restrictions on Iranian oil exports have driven the rial to record free-market lows near 2.2 million per dollar in recent weeks, reflecting sharply reduced foreign currency inflows and elevated inflation. Trader consensus splits evenly between sub-2.0 million and 2.5-3.0 million outcomes at end-December, underscoring uncertainty over whether Central Bank interventions, diplomatic shifts, or further isolation measures will stabilize or accelerate depreciation. Escalation in hostilities or sustained export curbs could push rates higher, while any ceasefire or sanctions relief might support rebound. These dynamics keep probabilities balanced as markets weigh short-term volatility against structural pressures.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$1,216Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing US sanctions, naval blockade, and restrictions on Iranian oil exports have driven the rial to record free-market lows near 2.2 million per dollar in recent weeks, reflecting sharply reduced foreign currency inflows and elevated inflation. Trader consensus splits evenly between sub-2.0 million and 2.5-3.0 million outcomes at end-December, underscoring uncertainty over whether Central Bank interventions, diplomatic shifts, or further isolation measures will stabilize or accelerate depreciation. Escalation in hostilities or sustained export curbs could push rates higher, while any ceasefire or sanctions relief might support rebound. These dynamics keep probabilities balanced as markets weigh short-term volatility against structural pressures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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