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Вибори·Ефіопія

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Вибори·Ефіопія

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 96.8%

Gedion Timothewos 1.5%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Adanech Abiebie <1%

Polymarket

$281,566,394 Обс.

Abiy Ahmed 96.8%

Gedion Timothewos 1.5%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Adanech Abiebie <1%

Polymarket

$281,566,394 Обс.

icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$134,039 Обс.

97%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$55,931,413 Обс.

1%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$29,552,757 Обс.

1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$83,445,189 Обс.

1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$13,575,419 Обс.

1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$27,398,334 Обс.

<1%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$30,108,483 Обс.

<1%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$41,420,759 Обс.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed's Prosperity Party secured a commanding 438-seat majority in Ethiopia's June 2026 parliamentary elections, enabling the House of Peoples' Representatives to designate him for another term beginning in October. This outcome reflects the ruling party's entrenched parliamentary control and the limited viability of opposition figures such as Gedion Timothewos, Berhanu Nega, or regional leaders amid a fragmented political landscape. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to Ahmed's continuation, consistent with the structural advantages of incumbency and majority government formation. Shifts remain possible only through exceptional developments, including health events, major internal party realignments, or unforeseen constitutional changes before the next electoral cycle.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$281,566,394
Дата завершення
Jun 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed's Prosperity Party secured a commanding 438-seat majority in Ethiopia's June 2026 parliamentary elections, enabling the House of Peoples' Representatives to designate him for another term beginning in October. This outcome reflects the ruling party's entrenched parliamentary control and the limited viability of opposition figures such as Gedion Timothewos, Berhanu Nega, or regional leaders amid a fragmented political landscape. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to Ahmed's continuation, consistent with the structural advantages of incumbency and majority government formation. Shifts remain possible only through exceptional developments, including health events, major internal party realignments, or unforeseen constitutional changes before the next electoral cycle.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$281,566,394
Дата завершення
Jun 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Abiy Ahmed» з 97%, далі «Gedion Timothewos» з 1%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?» згенерував $281.6 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 27, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?» — «Abiy Ahmed» з 97%. Наступний — «Gedion Timothewos» з 1%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.