Rep. Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in recent University of New Hampshire polling (52%-38% over GOP frontrunner John Sununu as of April 23), driving trader consensus toward an 82% implied probability of a Democratic victory in New Hampshire's open Senate race after incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement. Pappas benefits from a strong fundraising edge reported mid-April and his incumbency as a popular House member, while the Republican primary remains contested between former Sens. Sununu and Scott Brown ahead of the September 8 primaries. New Hampshire's history of Democratic Senate holds—despite its battleground status—reinforces the market's tilt, though national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNew Hampshire Senate Election Winner
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
$24,683 Обс.
$24,683 Обс.

Democrat
82%

Republican
18%
$24,683 Обс.
$24,683 Обс.

Democrat
82%

Republican
18%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in recent University of New Hampshire polling (52%-38% over GOP frontrunner John Sununu as of April 23), driving trader consensus toward an 82% implied probability of a Democratic victory in New Hampshire's open Senate race after incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement. Pappas benefits from a strong fundraising edge reported mid-April and his incumbency as a popular House member, while the Republican primary remains contested between former Sens. Sununu and Scott Brown ahead of the September 8 primaries. New Hampshire's history of Democratic Senate holds—despite its battleground status—reinforces the market's tilt, though national midterm dynamics could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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