Abdul El-Sayed's victory in Michigan's Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, has shaped trader positioning in this open-seat contest, with the state's recent Democratic performance in statewide races supporting his 59.5% implied probability against Republican nominee Mike Rogers. El-Sayed defeated Haley Stevens and Mallory McMorrow in the most expensive Senate primary in history, drawing progressive support and establishing a clear general-election matchup. Pre-primary polling showed tight general-election head-to-heads between Rogers and either Democrat, with ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic. Key factors include Michigan's battleground dynamics, voter turnout patterns in swing areas, and the absence of an incumbent. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited time for major shifts before ballots are cast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$325,224 Обс.
$325,224 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
60%
Mike Rogers (R)
42%
$325,224 Обс.
$325,224 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$167,307 Обс.
60%
Mike Rogers (R)
$157,917 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed's victory in Michigan's Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, has shaped trader positioning in this open-seat contest, with the state's recent Democratic performance in statewide races supporting his 59.5% implied probability against Republican nominee Mike Rogers. El-Sayed defeated Haley Stevens and Mallory McMorrow in the most expensive Senate primary in history, drawing progressive support and establishing a clear general-election matchup. Pre-primary polling showed tight general-election head-to-heads between Rogers and either Democrat, with ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic. Key factors include Michigan's battleground dynamics, voter turnout patterns in swing areas, and the absence of an incumbent. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited time for major shifts before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$325,224Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed's victory in Michigan's Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, has shaped trader positioning in this open-seat contest, with the state's recent Democratic performance in statewide races supporting his 59.5% implied probability against Republican nominee Mike Rogers. El-Sayed defeated Haley Stevens and Mallory McMorrow in the most expensive Senate primary in history, drawing progressive support and establishing a clear general-election matchup. Pre-primary polling showed tight general-election head-to-heads between Rogers and either Democrat, with ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic. Key factors include Michigan's battleground dynamics, voter turnout patterns in swing areas, and the absence of an incumbent. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited time for major shifts before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$325,224Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed's victory in Michigan's Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, has shaped trader positioning in this open-seat contest, with the state's recent Democratic performance in statewide races supporting his 59.5% implied probability against Republican nominee Mike Rogers. El-Sayed defeated Haley Stevens and Mallory McMorrow in the most expensive Senate primary in history, drawing progressive support and establishing a clear general-election matchup. Pre-primary polling showed tight general-election head-to-heads between Rogers and either Democrat, with ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic. Key factors include Michigan's battleground dynamics, voter turnout patterns in swing areas, and the absence of an incumbent. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with limited time for major shifts before ballots are cast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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