Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic win at 72.5% in Michigan's open U.S. Senate race following incumbent Gary Peters' decision against reelection, diverging from recent Glengariff Group polling (late April-early May) where Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers holds narrow leads over top Democratic primary contenders—45%-40% vs. Abdul El-Sayed, 43%-41% vs. Mallory McMorrow, and 44%-42% vs. Haley Stevens. This positioning stems from midterm dynamics typically punishing the president's party (Republicans under Trump), Democrats' May 5 special election victory preserving their state senate majority amid swing-district competitiveness, and historical opposition gains in battleground states like Michigan. A combative Democratic primary, marked by April Israel policy clashes, McMorrow's May deleted-post controversy, and May 12 scrutiny of El-Sayed's physician claims, precedes August 4 nominating contests that could solidify a stronger general matchup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$111,683 Обс.
$111,683 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
73%
Republican
27%
$111,683 Обс.
$111,683 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$80,694 Обс.
73%
Republican
$30,989 Обс.
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic win at 72.5% in Michigan's open U.S. Senate race following incumbent Gary Peters' decision against reelection, diverging from recent Glengariff Group polling (late April-early May) where Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers holds narrow leads over top Democratic primary contenders—45%-40% vs. Abdul El-Sayed, 43%-41% vs. Mallory McMorrow, and 44%-42% vs. Haley Stevens. This positioning stems from midterm dynamics typically punishing the president's party (Republicans under Trump), Democrats' May 5 special election victory preserving their state senate majority amid swing-district competitiveness, and historical opposition gains in battleground states like Michigan. A combative Democratic primary, marked by April Israel policy clashes, McMorrow's May deleted-post controversy, and May 12 scrutiny of El-Sayed's physician claims, precedes August 4 nominating contests that could solidify a stronger general matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$111,683Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic win at 72.5% in Michigan's open U.S. Senate race following incumbent Gary Peters' decision against reelection, diverging from recent Glengariff Group polling (late April-early May) where Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers holds narrow leads over top Democratic primary contenders—45%-40% vs. Abdul El-Sayed, 43%-41% vs. Mallory McMorrow, and 44%-42% vs. Haley Stevens. This positioning stems from midterm dynamics typically punishing the president's party (Republicans under Trump), Democrats' May 5 special election victory preserving their state senate majority amid swing-district competitiveness, and historical opposition gains in battleground states like Michigan. A combative Democratic primary, marked by April Israel policy clashes, McMorrow's May deleted-post controversy, and May 12 scrutiny of El-Sayed's physician claims, precedes August 4 nominating contests that could solidify a stronger general matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$111,683Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic win at 72.5% in Michigan's open U.S. Senate race following incumbent Gary Peters' decision against reelection, diverging from recent Glengariff Group polling (late April-early May) where Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers holds narrow leads over top Democratic primary contenders—45%-40% vs. Abdul El-Sayed, 43%-41% vs. Mallory McMorrow, and 44%-42% vs. Haley Stevens. This positioning stems from midterm dynamics typically punishing the president's party (Republicans under Trump), Democrats' May 5 special election victory preserving their state senate majority amid swing-district competitiveness, and historical opposition gains in battleground states like Michigan. A combative Democratic primary, marked by April Israel policy clashes, McMorrow's May deleted-post controversy, and May 12 scrutiny of El-Sayed's physician claims, precedes August 4 nominating contests that could solidify a stronger general matchup.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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