The open Minnesota U.S. Senate seat following incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement has traders pricing a Democratic hold at 91.5%, reflecting the state's partisan lean toward Democrats—evident in recent statewide victories—and early general election polls showing leading contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan defeating Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points in February Emerson surveys. Democratic primary polling as recent as late April indicates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig, with the crowded GOP field lacking a dominant figure amid fundraising gaps favoring Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a consolidated Republican nominee, national midterm wave dynamics, a polarizing Democratic primary outcome, scandals, or economic pressures before the August 11 primaries and November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$23,146 Обс.
$23,146 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
7%
$23,146 Обс.
$23,146 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$16,428 Обс.
92%
Republican
$6,718 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Minnesota U.S. Senate seat following incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement has traders pricing a Democratic hold at 91.5%, reflecting the state's partisan lean toward Democrats—evident in recent statewide victories—and early general election polls showing leading contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan defeating Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points in February Emerson surveys. Democratic primary polling as recent as late April indicates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig, with the crowded GOP field lacking a dominant figure amid fundraising gaps favoring Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a consolidated Republican nominee, national midterm wave dynamics, a polarizing Democratic primary outcome, scandals, or economic pressures before the August 11 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,146Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Minnesota U.S. Senate seat following incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement has traders pricing a Democratic hold at 91.5%, reflecting the state's partisan lean toward Democrats—evident in recent statewide victories—and early general election polls showing leading contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan defeating Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points in February Emerson surveys. Democratic primary polling as recent as late April indicates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig, with the crowded GOP field lacking a dominant figure amid fundraising gaps favoring Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a consolidated Republican nominee, national midterm wave dynamics, a polarizing Democratic primary outcome, scandals, or economic pressures before the August 11 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$23,146Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Minnesota U.S. Senate seat following incumbent Democrat Tina Smith's retirement has traders pricing a Democratic hold at 91.5%, reflecting the state's partisan lean toward Democrats—evident in recent statewide victories—and early general election polls showing leading contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan defeating Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6-7 points in February Emerson surveys. Democratic primary polling as recent as late April indicates Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leading Rep. Angie Craig, with the crowded GOP field lacking a dominant figure amid fundraising gaps favoring Democrats. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from a consolidated Republican nominee, national midterm wave dynamics, a polarizing Democratic primary outcome, scandals, or economic pressures before the August 11 primaries and November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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