Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's recent DFL endorsement on May 9 has solidified her path through the August 11 Democratic primary in Minnesota's solidly Democratic 5th District, where she holds a commanding fundraising lead with over $5 million raised and $1.5 million cash on hand. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects the district's deep blue lean—covering Minneapolis and suburbs with consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70%—and historical incumbent advantages in safe seats. Endorsed Republican Dalia al-Aqidi, who trailed badly in 2024, faces other primary rivals but limited resources. Scenarios to shift odds include a surprise Democratic primary upset by challengers Julie Le or Latonya Reeves, escalated fraud probes tying Omar to local scandals, a national GOP wave, or a high-profile GOP recruit before the June 2 filing deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$36,461 Обс.
$36,461 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$36,461 Обс.
$36,461 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,719 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$20,742 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's recent DFL endorsement on May 9 has solidified her path through the August 11 Democratic primary in Minnesota's solidly Democratic 5th District, where she holds a commanding fundraising lead with over $5 million raised and $1.5 million cash on hand. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects the district's deep blue lean—covering Minneapolis and suburbs with consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70%—and historical incumbent advantages in safe seats. Endorsed Republican Dalia al-Aqidi, who trailed badly in 2024, faces other primary rivals but limited resources. Scenarios to shift odds include a surprise Democratic primary upset by challengers Julie Le or Latonya Reeves, escalated fraud probes tying Omar to local scandals, a national GOP wave, or a high-profile GOP recruit before the June 2 filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$36,461Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's recent DFL endorsement on May 9 has solidified her path through the August 11 Democratic primary in Minnesota's solidly Democratic 5th District, where she holds a commanding fundraising lead with over $5 million raised and $1.5 million cash on hand. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects the district's deep blue lean—covering Minneapolis and suburbs with consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70%—and historical incumbent advantages in safe seats. Endorsed Republican Dalia al-Aqidi, who trailed badly in 2024, faces other primary rivals but limited resources. Scenarios to shift odds include a surprise Democratic primary upset by challengers Julie Le or Latonya Reeves, escalated fraud probes tying Omar to local scandals, a national GOP wave, or a high-profile GOP recruit before the June 2 filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$36,461Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's recent DFL endorsement on May 9 has solidified her path through the August 11 Democratic primary in Minnesota's solidly Democratic 5th District, where she holds a commanding fundraising lead with over $5 million raised and $1.5 million cash on hand. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects the district's deep blue lean—covering Minneapolis and suburbs with consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70%—and historical incumbent advantages in safe seats. Endorsed Republican Dalia al-Aqidi, who trailed badly in 2024, faces other primary rivals but limited resources. Scenarios to shift odds include a surprise Democratic primary upset by challengers Julie Le or Latonya Reeves, escalated fraud probes tying Omar to local scandals, a national GOP wave, or a high-profile GOP recruit before the June 2 filing deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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