Incumbent Rep. Nathaniel Moran (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary for Texas's 1st Congressional District, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory in this Solid R-rated East Texas seat following 2025 redistricting. The district's conservative base, historical GOP margins exceeding 50 points, and Moran's recent tour promoting workforce legislation underscore the frontrunner's commanding position despite Democrats' May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander. While low Democratic turnout typically prevails, scenarios like a national midterm wave, Moran scandal, or legal challenges could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-01 House Election Winner
TX-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,625 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,487 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nathaniel Moran (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary for Texas's 1st Congressional District, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory in this Solid R-rated East Texas seat following 2025 redistricting. The district's conservative base, historical GOP margins exceeding 50 points, and Moran's recent tour promoting workforce legislation underscore the frontrunner's commanding position despite Democrats' May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander. While low Democratic turnout typically prevails, scenarios like a national midterm wave, Moran scandal, or legal challenges could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,112Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nathaniel Moran (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary for Texas's 1st Congressional District, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory in this Solid R-rated East Texas seat following 2025 redistricting. The district's conservative base, historical GOP margins exceeding 50 points, and Moran's recent tour promoting workforce legislation underscore the frontrunner's commanding position despite Democrats' May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander. While low Democratic turnout typically prevails, scenarios like a national midterm wave, Moran scandal, or legal challenges could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$7,112Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Nathaniel Moran (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary for Texas's 1st Congressional District, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory in this Solid R-rated East Texas seat following 2025 redistricting. The district's conservative base, historical GOP margins exceeding 50 points, and Moran's recent tour promoting workforce legislation underscore the frontrunner's commanding position despite Democrats' May 26 primary runoff between Yolanda Prince and Dax Alexander. While low Democratic turnout typically prevails, scenarios like a national midterm wave, Moran scandal, or legal challenges could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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