Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep-blue partisan lean—last electing a Republican in 1971—and strong historical Democratic margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Rep. Diana DeGette qualified for the June 30 Democratic primary after narrowly surviving a precinct caucus challenge from upstart Melat Kiros in late March, underscoring intra-party competition but not threatening the general election hold. No prominent GOP contender has emerged ahead of the simultaneous Republican primary, reinforcing the structural imbalance. Upsets could arise from a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, a national midterm Republican wave, or unexpectedly high GOP turnout in this Denver-area battleground precursor.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCO-01 House Election Winner
CO-01 House Election Winner
$12,584 Обс.
$12,584 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$12,584 Обс.
$12,584 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,674 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$9,910 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep-blue partisan lean—last electing a Republican in 1971—and strong historical Democratic margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Rep. Diana DeGette qualified for the June 30 Democratic primary after narrowly surviving a precinct caucus challenge from upstart Melat Kiros in late March, underscoring intra-party competition but not threatening the general election hold. No prominent GOP contender has emerged ahead of the simultaneous Republican primary, reinforcing the structural imbalance. Upsets could arise from a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, a national midterm Republican wave, or unexpectedly high GOP turnout in this Denver-area battleground precursor.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,584Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep-blue partisan lean—last electing a Republican in 1971—and strong historical Democratic margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Rep. Diana DeGette qualified for the June 30 Democratic primary after narrowly surviving a precinct caucus challenge from upstart Melat Kiros in late March, underscoring intra-party competition but not threatening the general election hold. No prominent GOP contender has emerged ahead of the simultaneous Republican primary, reinforcing the structural imbalance. Upsets could arise from a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, a national midterm Republican wave, or unexpectedly high GOP turnout in this Denver-area battleground precursor.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$12,584Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 1st Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's deep-blue partisan lean—last electing a Republican in 1971—and strong historical Democratic margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Rep. Diana DeGette qualified for the June 30 Democratic primary after narrowly surviving a precinct caucus challenge from upstart Melat Kiros in late March, underscoring intra-party competition but not threatening the general election hold. No prominent GOP contender has emerged ahead of the simultaneous Republican primary, reinforcing the structural imbalance. Upsets could arise from a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, a national midterm Republican wave, or unexpectedly high GOP turnout in this Denver-area battleground precursor.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання