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Політика·Бразилія

Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце

icon for Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце
Політика·Бразилія

Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце

Флавіо Болсонару 62%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 15%

Ренан Сантос 6.6%

Ромеу Земі 5.8%

Polymarket

$3,516,955 Обс.

Флавіо Болсонару 62%

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва 15%

Ренан Сантос 6.6%

Ромеу Земі 5.8%

Polymarket

$3,516,955 Обс.

icon for Флавіо Болсонару

Флавіо Болсонару

$56,238 Обс.

62%

icon for Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва

Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва

$67,022 Обс.

15%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$994,580 Обс.

7%

icon for Ромеу Земі

Ромеу Земі

$256,180 Обс.

6%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$2,062 Обс.

4%

icon for Мішель Болсонару

Мішель Болсонару

$71,041 Обс.

3%

icon for Фернандо Хаддад

Фернандо Хаддад

$651,213 Обс.

3%

icon for Камілу Сантана

Камілу Сантана

$56,008 Обс.

1%

icon for Жералду Алкмін

Жералду Алкмін

$123,259 Обс.

1%

icon for Роналду Каяду

Роналду Каяду

$288,325 Обс.

1%

icon for Алду Ребелу

Алду Ребелу

$29,825 Обс.

<1%

icon for Тарсіо де Фрейтас

Тарсіо де Фрейтас

$111,040 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ратінью Жуніор

Ратінью Жуніор

$642,631 Обс.

<1%

icon for Едуарду Болсонару

Едуарду Болсонару

$48,401 Обс.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$1,986 Обс.

<1%

icon for Жаїр Болсонару

Жаїр Болсонару

$77,363 Обс.

<1%

icon for Едуарду Лейте

Едуарду Лейте

$40,500 Обс.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent polls show him consolidating right-wing support behind the Liberal Party ticket after his father Jair Bolsonaro’s December endorsement. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a narrow first-round edge amid 44-47 percent approval and economic headwinds, positioning Flávio as the clear runner-up in most simulations from firms such as Quaest, Ideia, and Futura. The fragmented field—featuring Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and others—keeps right-of-center votes from splitting widely enough to displace Flávio. A May 13 leak tying Flávio to the Banco Master case has not yet shifted the consensus, while Lula’s age and policy pressures continue to limit his margin. Upcoming economic releases and any further candidate withdrawals remain the main near-term variables that could alter these probabilities.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$3,516,955
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for second place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because recent polls show him consolidating right-wing support behind the Liberal Party ticket after his father Jair Bolsonaro’s December endorsement. Incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a narrow first-round edge amid 44-47 percent approval and economic headwinds, positioning Flávio as the clear runner-up in most simulations from firms such as Quaest, Ideia, and Futura. The fragmented field—featuring Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and others—keeps right-of-center votes from splitting widely enough to displace Flávio. A May 13 leak tying Flávio to the Banco Master case has not yet shifted the consensus, while Lula’s age and policy pressures continue to limit his margin. Upcoming economic releases and any further candidate withdrawals remain the main near-term variables that could alter these probabilities.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$3,516,955
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Флавіо Болсонару» з 62%, далі «Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» згенерував $3.5 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» — «Флавіо Болсонару» з 62%. Наступний — «Луїз Інасіу Лула да Сілва» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Перший тур президентських виборів у Бразилії: 2 місце» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.