The 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race remains tightly contested due to recent polling showing technical ties or narrow leads between incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB), with support levels clustered around 28-34% and significant undecided voters. Efraim Filho (PL) trails in the low-to-mid teens amid a fragmented field of other contenders. Early positioning after the April 2026 transition to Ribeiro, combined with local party coalitions and regional priorities, has kept implied probabilities balanced across leading options on the market. Further separation could emerge from shifts in upcoming surveys, formal alliances ahead of the October first round, or voter consolidation once campaigning intensifies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCícero Lucena 41%
Efraim Filho 12%
Marcelo Queiroga 7%
Nilvan Ferreira 3.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
Cícero Lucena
41%
Efraim Filho
12%
Marcelo Queiroga
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
4%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
3%
Romero Rodrigues
3%
Flávio Lúcio
2%
Cícero Lucena 41%
Efraim Filho 12%
Marcelo Queiroga 7%
Nilvan Ferreira 3.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
Cícero Lucena
$2,374 Обс.
41%
Efraim Filho
$81 Обс.
12%
Marcelo Queiroga
$101 Обс.
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
$81 Обс.
4%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$135 Обс.
3%
Romero Rodrigues
$210 Обс.
3%
Flávio Lúcio
$168 Обс.
2%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race remains tightly contested due to recent polling showing technical ties or narrow leads between incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB), with support levels clustered around 28-34% and significant undecided voters. Efraim Filho (PL) trails in the low-to-mid teens amid a fragmented field of other contenders. Early positioning after the April 2026 transition to Ribeiro, combined with local party coalitions and regional priorities, has kept implied probabilities balanced across leading options on the market. Further separation could emerge from shifts in upcoming surveys, formal alliances ahead of the October first round, or voter consolidation once campaigning intensifies.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,150Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race remains tightly contested due to recent polling showing technical ties or narrow leads between incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB), with support levels clustered around 28-34% and significant undecided voters. Efraim Filho (PL) trails in the low-to-mid teens amid a fragmented field of other contenders. Early positioning after the April 2026 transition to Ribeiro, combined with local party coalitions and regional priorities, has kept implied probabilities balanced across leading options on the market. Further separation could emerge from shifts in upcoming surveys, formal alliances ahead of the October first round, or voter consolidation once campaigning intensifies.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$3,150Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race remains tightly contested due to recent polling showing technical ties or narrow leads between incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB), with support levels clustered around 28-34% and significant undecided voters. Efraim Filho (PL) trails in the low-to-mid teens amid a fragmented field of other contenders. Early positioning after the April 2026 transition to Ribeiro, combined with local party coalitions and regional priorities, has kept implied probabilities balanced across leading options on the market. Further separation could emerge from shifts in upcoming surveys, formal alliances ahead of the October first round, or voter consolidation once campaigning intensifies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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