Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds a clear lead in recent polling averages ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with surveys from late August showing her at 44-48% against João Campos (PSB) at 36-42%. Her advantage stems from sustained 68% approval for her administration and gains tied to state economic indicators, which have reversed earlier momentum for Campos despite his official backing from President Lula. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register near 1%, leaving limited room for fragmentation. Traders price Lyra as the frontrunner based on this consistent polling trajectory and incumbency dynamics in the Northeast state race, while the possibility of a runoff on October 25 remains a key variable that could still shift the final outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRaquel Lyra 68%
João Campos 34%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$32,723 Обс.
$32,723 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
68%
João Campos
34%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 68%
João Campos 34%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$32,723 Обс.
$32,723 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
$15,109 Обс.
68%
João Campos
$14,539 Обс.
34%
Ivan Moraes
$3,075 Обс.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds a clear lead in recent polling averages ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with surveys from late August showing her at 44-48% against João Campos (PSB) at 36-42%. Her advantage stems from sustained 68% approval for her administration and gains tied to state economic indicators, which have reversed earlier momentum for Campos despite his official backing from President Lula. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register near 1%, leaving limited room for fragmentation. Traders price Lyra as the frontrunner based on this consistent polling trajectory and incumbency dynamics in the Northeast state race, while the possibility of a runoff on October 25 remains a key variable that could still shift the final outcome.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$32,723Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds a clear lead in recent polling averages ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with surveys from late August showing her at 44-48% against João Campos (PSB) at 36-42%. Her advantage stems from sustained 68% approval for her administration and gains tied to state economic indicators, which have reversed earlier momentum for Campos despite his official backing from President Lula. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register near 1%, leaving limited room for fragmentation. Traders price Lyra as the frontrunner based on this consistent polling trajectory and incumbency dynamics in the Northeast state race, while the possibility of a runoff on October 25 remains a key variable that could still shift the final outcome.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$32,723Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor of Pernambuco, holds a clear lead in recent polling averages ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with surveys from late August showing her at 44-48% against João Campos (PSB) at 36-42%. Her advantage stems from sustained 68% approval for her administration and gains tied to state economic indicators, which have reversed earlier momentum for Campos despite his official backing from President Lula. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register near 1%, leaving limited room for fragmentation. Traders price Lyra as the frontrunner based on this consistent polling trajectory and incumbency dynamics in the Northeast state race, while the possibility of a runoff on October 25 remains a key variable that could still shift the final outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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