Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in São Paulo polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 41% against President Lula’s 35% and no other candidate reaching double digits. This positioning stems from strong support in Brazil’s largest electoral college, where right-leaning voters favor the Liberal Party senator’s platform on security and economic issues, reinforced by his father’s endorsement and international backing. São Paulo-specific data from mid-September consistently places him ahead on valid votes, driving trader consensus on his first-place finish. Potential shifts could arise from higher-than-expected turnout among undecided or opposition voters, last-minute campaign events, or changes in rejection rates ahead of the vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlavio Bolsonaro 95%
Lula 2.3%
Renan Santos <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$25,804 Обс.
$25,804 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
Flavio Bolsonaro
95%
Lula
2%
Renan Santos
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Samara
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 95%
Lula 2.3%
Renan Santos <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$25,804 Обс.
$25,804 Обс.
Jun 30, 2027
Flavio Bolsonaro
$8,137 Обс.
95%
Lula
$9,353 Обс.
2%
Renan Santos
$1,405 Обс.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$593 Обс.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$714 Обс.
<1%
Samara
$700 Обс.
<1%
Zema
$743 Обс.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$576 Обс.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$576 Обс.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$571 Обс.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,189 Обс.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$671 Обс.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$577 Обс.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in São Paulo polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 41% against President Lula’s 35% and no other candidate reaching double digits. This positioning stems from strong support in Brazil’s largest electoral college, where right-leaning voters favor the Liberal Party senator’s platform on security and economic issues, reinforced by his father’s endorsement and international backing. São Paulo-specific data from mid-September consistently places him ahead on valid votes, driving trader consensus on his first-place finish. Potential shifts could arise from higher-than-expected turnout among undecided or opposition voters, last-minute campaign events, or changes in rejection rates ahead of the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,804Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in São Paulo polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 41% against President Lula’s 35% and no other candidate reaching double digits. This positioning stems from strong support in Brazil’s largest electoral college, where right-leaning voters favor the Liberal Party senator’s platform on security and economic issues, reinforced by his father’s endorsement and international backing. São Paulo-specific data from mid-September consistently places him ahead on valid votes, driving trader consensus on his first-place finish. Potential shifts could arise from higher-than-expected turnout among undecided or opposition voters, last-minute campaign events, or changes in rejection rates ahead of the vote.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$25,804Дата завершення
Jul 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in São Paulo polling for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys showing him at 41% against President Lula’s 35% and no other candidate reaching double digits. This positioning stems from strong support in Brazil’s largest electoral college, where right-leaning voters favor the Liberal Party senator’s platform on security and economic issues, reinforced by his father’s endorsement and international backing. São Paulo-specific data from mid-September consistently places him ahead on valid votes, driving trader consensus on his first-place finish. Potential shifts could arise from higher-than-expected turnout among undecided or opposition voters, last-minute campaign events, or changes in rejection rates ahead of the vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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