Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race with trader consensus at 67% implied probability, driven by consistent polling leads of roughly 10 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Multiple surveys from late July, including Quaest and Ipsos, placed Gomes in the low-to-mid 40s while de Freitas registered in the low 30s, reflecting the former governor’s name recognition, PSDB alliances, and emphasis on public security. The two frontrunners clashed in an August 9 debate on state issues, with minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão remaining far behind in both surveys and market pricing. The race remains subject to shifts from coalition negotiations or late developments before the potential October 25 runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 66%
Elmano de Freitas 35%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$128,342 Обс.
$128,342 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
66%
Elmano de Freitas
35%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Camilo Santana
1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 66%
Elmano de Freitas 35%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Camilo Santana <1%
$128,342 Обс.
$128,342 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$74,854 Обс.
66%
Elmano de Freitas
$22,808 Обс.
35%
Eduardo Girão
$8,761 Обс.
1%
Camilo Santana
$6,387 Обс.
1%
Capitão Wagner
$8,512 Обс.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$7,021 Обс.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race with trader consensus at 67% implied probability, driven by consistent polling leads of roughly 10 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Multiple surveys from late July, including Quaest and Ipsos, placed Gomes in the low-to-mid 40s while de Freitas registered in the low 30s, reflecting the former governor’s name recognition, PSDB alliances, and emphasis on public security. The two frontrunners clashed in an August 9 debate on state issues, with minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão remaining far behind in both surveys and market pricing. The race remains subject to shifts from coalition negotiations or late developments before the potential October 25 runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$128,342Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race with trader consensus at 67% implied probability, driven by consistent polling leads of roughly 10 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Multiple surveys from late July, including Quaest and Ipsos, placed Gomes in the low-to-mid 40s while de Freitas registered in the low 30s, reflecting the former governor’s name recognition, PSDB alliances, and emphasis on public security. The two frontrunners clashed in an August 9 debate on state issues, with minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão remaining far behind in both surveys and market pricing. The race remains subject to shifts from coalition negotiations or late developments before the potential October 25 runoff.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$128,342Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial race with trader consensus at 67% implied probability, driven by consistent polling leads of roughly 10 points over incumbent Elmano de Freitas ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round. Multiple surveys from late July, including Quaest and Ipsos, placed Gomes in the low-to-mid 40s while de Freitas registered in the low 30s, reflecting the former governor’s name recognition, PSDB alliances, and emphasis on public security. The two frontrunners clashed in an August 9 debate on state issues, with minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão remaining far behind in both surveys and market pricing. The race remains subject to shifts from coalition negotiations or late developments before the potential October 25 runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання