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Політика·Глобальні вибори

Ceará Governor Election Winner

icon for Ceará Governor Election Winner
Політика·Глобальні вибори

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes 63%

Elmano de Freitas 22%

Camilo Santana 12.6%

Roberto Cláudio 2.1%

Polymarket

$53,182 Обс.

Ciro Gomes 63%

Elmano de Freitas 22%

Camilo Santana 12.6%

Roberto Cláudio 2.1%

Polymarket

$53,182 Обс.

icon for Ciro Gomes

Ciro Gomes

$35,971 Обс.

63%

icon for Elmano de Freitas

Elmano de Freitas

$5,657 Обс.

22%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$2,888 Обс.

13%

icon for Roberto Cláudio

Roberto Cláudio

$1,785 Обс.

2%

icon for Eduardo Girão

Eduardo Girão

$3,075 Обс.

7%

icon for Capitão Wagner

Capitão Wagner

$3,806 Обс.

<1%

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ciro Gomes at 62.5% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, driven by his May 11 confirmation ruling out a presidential bid and committing to the state race, solidifying his frontrunner status. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late April shows Ciro leading first-round scenarios at 41-49% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32-40%, with Ciro prevailing in a simulated runoff (46-35%). Senator Camilo Santana (PT) trails at 12.6% market odds but polls stronger head-to-head versus Ciro, amid PT internal debates over their nominee. Lower probabilities for Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner reflect their weak polling. PT approval of Elmano's tenure remains high at 53-60%, but Ciro's name recognition and prior governorship sustain his edge ahead of potential party shifts.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$53,182
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ciro Gomes at 62.5% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, driven by his May 11 confirmation ruling out a presidential bid and committing to the state race, solidifying his frontrunner status. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late April shows Ciro leading first-round scenarios at 41-49% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 32-40%, with Ciro prevailing in a simulated runoff (46-35%). Senator Camilo Santana (PT) trails at 12.6% market odds but polls stronger head-to-head versus Ciro, amid PT internal debates over their nominee. Lower probabilities for Eduardo Girão, Roberto Cláudio, and Capitão Wagner reflect their weak polling. PT approval of Elmano's tenure remains high at 53-60%, but Ciro's name recognition and prior governorship sustain his edge ahead of potential party shifts.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$53,182
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Ceará Governor Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ciro Gomes» з 63%, далі «Elmano de Freitas» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Ceará Governor Election Winner» згенерував $53.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 27, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Ceará Governor Election Winner», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Ceará Governor Election Winner» — «Ciro Gomes» з 63%. Наступний — «Elmano de Freitas» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Ceará Governor Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.