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Вибори·Бразилія

Maranhão Governor Election Winner

icon for Maranhão Governor Election Winner
Вибори·Бразилія

Maranhão Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Braide 43%

Orleans Brandão 35%

Lahesio Bonfim 12%

Felipe Camarão 8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Eduardo Braide 43%

Orleans Brandão 35%

Lahesio Bonfim 12%

Felipe Camarão 8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Eduardo Braide

$544 Обс.

43%

Orleans Brandão

$69 Обс.

35%

Lahesio Bonfim

$68 Обс.

12%

Felipe Camarão

$64 Обс.

8%

André Luís

$169 Обс.

4%

Enilton Rodrigues

$275 Обс.

4%

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) holding a clear first-round lead in several surveys, including AtlasIntel figures near 50%, while Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails in the low 20s and Felipe Camarão (PT) sits further back. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to pursue the state executive has clarified his path, yet Econométrica data from the same month indicated a technical tie between Braide and Brandão in one scenario. The market’s compressed pricing around 42% for Braide and lower shares for rivals reflects uncertainty over coalition formation, left-wing fragmentation, and the October 2026 first-round threshold. Upcoming candidate alignments and any new surveys could widen or narrow these gaps ahead of the vote.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$957
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from May 2026 shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) holding a clear first-round lead in several surveys, including AtlasIntel figures near 50%, while Orleans Brandão (MDB) trails in the low 20s and Felipe Camarão (PT) sits further back. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to pursue the state executive has clarified his path, yet Econométrica data from the same month indicated a technical tie between Braide and Brandão in one scenario. The market’s compressed pricing around 42% for Braide and lower shares for rivals reflects uncertainty over coalition formation, left-wing fragmentation, and the October 2026 first-round threshold. Upcoming candidate alignments and any new surveys could widen or narrow these gaps ahead of the vote.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$957
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Maranhão Governor Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Eduardo Braide» з 43%, далі «Orleans Brandão» з 35%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Maranhão Governor Election Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 12, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Maranhão Governor Election Winner», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Maranhão Governor Election Winner» — «Eduardo Braide» з 43%. Наступний — «Orleans Brandão» з 35%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Maranhão Governor Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.