Tarcísio de Freitas, the incumbent Republicans governor, maintains a dominant position in São Paulo’s October 2026 gubernatorial race, backed by recent polling averages showing him at 50% or higher in the first round against Fernando Haddad of the PT. Withdrawals by potential rivals including Kim Kataguiri have consolidated support around the two main contenders, while de Freitas has secured key alliances ahead of the October 4 vote and possible runoff. His track record on infrastructure and state administration continues to shape voter intentions in Brazil’s most populous state. Low shares for Erika Hilton, Márcio França, and others reflect limited momentum for alternative candidacies at this stage. Shifts could still arise from late campaign developments, national political dynamics, or turnout patterns in the final weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTarcísio de Freitas 94%
Fernando Haddad 3.6%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$278,971 Обс.
$278,971 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
94%
Fernando Haddad
4%
Erika Hilton
1%
Kim Kataguiri
<1%
Márcio França
<1%
Tarcísio de Freitas 94%
Fernando Haddad 3.6%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$278,971 Обс.
$278,971 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
$122,990 Обс.
94%
Fernando Haddad
$46,833 Обс.
4%
Erika Hilton
$22,704 Обс.
1%
Kim Kataguiri
$75,777 Обс.
<1%
Márcio França
$10,668 Обс.
<1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas, the incumbent Republicans governor, maintains a dominant position in São Paulo’s October 2026 gubernatorial race, backed by recent polling averages showing him at 50% or higher in the first round against Fernando Haddad of the PT. Withdrawals by potential rivals including Kim Kataguiri have consolidated support around the two main contenders, while de Freitas has secured key alliances ahead of the October 4 vote and possible runoff. His track record on infrastructure and state administration continues to shape voter intentions in Brazil’s most populous state. Low shares for Erika Hilton, Márcio França, and others reflect limited momentum for alternative candidacies at this stage. Shifts could still arise from late campaign developments, national political dynamics, or turnout patterns in the final weeks.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
Обсяг
$278,971Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas, the incumbent Republicans governor, maintains a dominant position in São Paulo’s October 2026 gubernatorial race, backed by recent polling averages showing him at 50% or higher in the first round against Fernando Haddad of the PT. Withdrawals by potential rivals including Kim Kataguiri have consolidated support around the two main contenders, while de Freitas has secured key alliances ahead of the October 4 vote and possible runoff. His track record on infrastructure and state administration continues to shape voter intentions in Brazil’s most populous state. Low shares for Erika Hilton, Márcio França, and others reflect limited momentum for alternative candidacies at this stage. Shifts could still arise from late campaign developments, national political dynamics, or turnout patterns in the final weeks.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$278,971Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarcísio de Freitas, the incumbent Republicans governor, maintains a dominant position in São Paulo’s October 2026 gubernatorial race, backed by recent polling averages showing him at 50% or higher in the first round against Fernando Haddad of the PT. Withdrawals by potential rivals including Kim Kataguiri have consolidated support around the two main contenders, while de Freitas has secured key alliances ahead of the October 4 vote and possible runoff. His track record on infrastructure and state administration continues to shape voter intentions in Brazil’s most populous state. Low shares for Erika Hilton, Márcio França, and others reflect limited momentum for alternative candidacies at this stage. Shifts could still arise from late campaign developments, national political dynamics, or turnout patterns in the final weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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