Skip to main content
icon for US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

icon for US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

6% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
6% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the United States requiring the Brazilian diplomat to leave the United States, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of a diplomat’s visa or denial of entry to the United States will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-Brazil diplomatic tensions escalated in early August 2026 when the State Department revoked the visa of Brazilian Ambassador Maria Luiza Ribeiro Viotti over Brazil’s delays in approving President Trump’s nominee and its denial of visas to two US diplomats. Officials immediately clarified that the move was a reversible, reciprocal action—not an expulsion—and that Viotti could remain in the United States, with her visa restored upon Brazilian approval of the US envoy. No subsequent statements or actions from either government have signaled plans for formal expulsion of any Brazilian diplomat before the September 30 deadline. The calibrated response aligns with ongoing trade disputes and Brazil’s October elections, reinforcing trader expectations that the dispute will stay below the threshold of expulsion.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the United States requiring the Brazilian diplomat to leave the United States, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of a diplomat’s visa or denial of entry to the United States will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,807
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the United States requiring the Brazilian diplomat to leave the United States, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of a diplomat’s visa or denial of entry to the United States will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the United States requiring the Brazilian diplomat to leave the United States, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of a diplomat’s visa or denial of entry to the United States will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-Brazil diplomatic tensions escalated in early August 2026 when the State Department revoked the visa of Brazilian Ambassador Maria Luiza Ribeiro Viotti over Brazil’s delays in approving President Trump’s nominee and its denial of visas to two US diplomats. Officials immediately clarified that the move was a reversible, reciprocal action—not an expulsion—and that Viotti could remain in the United States, with her visa restored upon Brazilian approval of the US envoy. No subsequent statements or actions from either government have signaled plans for formal expulsion of any Brazilian diplomat before the September 30 deadline. The calibrated response aligns with ongoing trade disputes and Brazil’s October elections, reinforcing trader expectations that the dispute will stay below the threshold of expulsion.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the United States requiring the Brazilian diplomat to leave the United States, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of a diplomat’s visa or denial of entry to the United States will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,807
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the United States requiring the Brazilian diplomat to leave the United States, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of a diplomat’s visa or denial of entry to the United States will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 6% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 6¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 6%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 11, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?» — 6% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 6% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.