Trader consensus favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 54.5% implied probability to win the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, driven by his superior name recognition exceeding 50% from prior statewide runs as lieutenant governor in 2018 and U.S. Senate candidate in 2022, enabling him to consolidate support among the 65% undecided Democratic primary voters identified in the February Marquette Law School Poll. State Rep. Francesca Hong trails at 34.2% after briefly leading that survey at 11% to Barnes' 10%, reflecting her rising grassroots momentum in a crowded field of over a dozen candidates including Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez and Milwaukee County Exec. David Crowley. Absent new public polls since February, markets anticipate Barnes' experience prevailing amid fragmented support, with the primary three months away.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMandela Barnes 55%
Francesca Hong 33.6%
Sara Rodriguez 8%
David Crowley 3.7%
$55,366 Обс.
$55,366 Обс.
Mandela Barnes
55%
Francesca Hong
34%
Sara Rodriguez
8%
David Crowley
4%
Zachary Roper
1%
Chris Larson
1%
Joel Brennan
1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Mandela Barnes 55%
Francesca Hong 33.6%
Sara Rodriguez 8%
David Crowley 3.7%
$55,366 Обс.
$55,366 Обс.
Mandela Barnes
55%
Francesca Hong
34%
Sara Rodriguez
8%
David Crowley
4%
Zachary Roper
1%
Chris Larson
1%
Joel Brennan
1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 54.5% implied probability to win the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, driven by his superior name recognition exceeding 50% from prior statewide runs as lieutenant governor in 2018 and U.S. Senate candidate in 2022, enabling him to consolidate support among the 65% undecided Democratic primary voters identified in the February Marquette Law School Poll. State Rep. Francesca Hong trails at 34.2% after briefly leading that survey at 11% to Barnes' 10%, reflecting her rising grassroots momentum in a crowded field of over a dozen candidates including Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez and Milwaukee County Exec. David Crowley. Absent new public polls since February, markets anticipate Barnes' experience prevailing amid fragmented support, with the primary three months away.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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