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Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?

icon for Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?
Вибори·Вибори в США

Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?

Mary Peltola 91.4%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 8.1%

David Leslie <1%

Shirley Saucerman <1%

Polymarket

$44,312 Обс.

Mary Peltola 91.4%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 8.1%

David Leslie <1%

Shirley Saucerman <1%

Polymarket

$44,312 Обс.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$17,455 Обс.

91%

icon for Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

$10,481 Обс.

8%

icon for David Leslie

David Leslie

$3,015 Обс.

<1%

Shirley Saucerman

$2,435 Обс.

<1%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$1,045 Обс.

<1%

Richard Benedict Mayers

$947 Обс.

<1%

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth

$969 Обс.

<1%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$705 Обс.

<1%

icon for Carol Hafner

Carol Hafner

$752 Обс.

<1%

icon for Gerald L. Heikes

Gerald L. Heikes

$502 Обс.

<1%

icon for Dan J. Sullivan

Dan J. Sullivan

$1,493 Обс.

<1%

Fred C. Grauberger

$1,713 Обс.

<1%

icon for Sid Hill

Sid Hill

$550 Обс.

<1%

icon for Scott Kohlhaas

Scott Kohlhaas

$539 Обс.

<1%

Heather McElwain

$1,077 Обс.

<1%

icon for Reece Roberts

Reece Roberts

$634 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Mary Peltola holds a dominant position as the expected top vote-getter in Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan Senate primary, where the top four advance to the general election under ranked-choice voting. Her substantial fundraising edge, with $6.9 million raised since April compared to incumbent Dan S. Sullivan’s roughly $2 million, combined with high name recognition from her prior House tenure, has consolidated support in a crowded field of 16 candidates. Minor entrants, including a second Dan J. Sullivan listed without party affiliation on the ballot, have drawn limited attention and failed to shift momentum. Late-July polling and campaign finance reports reinforce trader consensus around her plurality finish, though the brief window before voting leaves room for last-minute turnout shifts or ballot-order effects to alter exact margins among the leaders.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Обсяг
$44,312
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Mary Peltola holds a dominant position as the expected top vote-getter in Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan Senate primary, where the top four advance to the general election under ranked-choice voting. Her substantial fundraising edge, with $6.9 million raised since April compared to incumbent Dan S. Sullivan’s roughly $2 million, combined with high name recognition from her prior House tenure, has consolidated support in a crowded field of 16 candidates. Minor entrants, including a second Dan J. Sullivan listed without party affiliation on the ballot, have drawn limited attention and failed to shift momentum. Late-July polling and campaign finance reports reinforce trader consensus around her plurality finish, though the brief window before voting leaves room for last-minute turnout shifts or ballot-order effects to alter exact margins among the leaders.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Обсяг
$44,312
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

Пов'язане

icon for Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate primary by 3–6%?

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate primary by 3–6%?

41%
icon for Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

52%
icon for Will Tom Begich place first in the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Will Tom Begich place first in the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

64%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 16 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Mary Peltola» з 91%, далі «Sen. Dan S. Sullivan» з 8%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?» згенерував $44.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?», перегляньте 16 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?» — «Mary Peltola» з 91%. Наступний — «Sen. Dan S. Sullivan» з 8%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.