New Hampshire’s open Senate seat and gubernatorial race point traders toward split control because recent polling consistently shows Democratic Representative Chris Pappas ahead of likely Republican nominee John E. Sununu by roughly 3–13 points, while Republican incumbent Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a modest lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington. Both primaries are scheduled for September 8, 2026, with Pappas and Sununu favored in their respective fields and no late polling shifts evident as of mid-August. The state’s modest Democratic lean and historical pattern of backing Democratic Senate candidates support the trader consensus that Democrats are more likely to hold the Senate while Republicans retain the governorship, producing the dominant Rep-Gov/Dem-Senate outcome. Other combinations, including sweeps, remain possible but trail significantly given the separate race dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоReps win Gov, Dems win Senate 71%
Dems sweep 14%
Reps sweep 11%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 1.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
71%
Dems sweep
14%
Reps sweep
11%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
1%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 71%
Dems sweep 14%
Reps sweep 11%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 1.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$1,818 Обс.
71%
Dems sweep
$1,292 Обс.
14%
Reps sweep
$588 Обс.
11%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$38 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
New Hampshire’s open Senate seat and gubernatorial race point traders toward split control because recent polling consistently shows Democratic Representative Chris Pappas ahead of likely Republican nominee John E. Sununu by roughly 3–13 points, while Republican incumbent Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a modest lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington. Both primaries are scheduled for September 8, 2026, with Pappas and Sununu favored in their respective fields and no late polling shifts evident as of mid-August. The state’s modest Democratic lean and historical pattern of backing Democratic Senate candidates support the trader consensus that Democrats are more likely to hold the Senate while Republicans retain the governorship, producing the dominant Rep-Gov/Dem-Senate outcome. Other combinations, including sweeps, remain possible but trail significantly given the separate race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,736Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
New Hampshire’s open Senate seat and gubernatorial race point traders toward split control because recent polling consistently shows Democratic Representative Chris Pappas ahead of likely Republican nominee John E. Sununu by roughly 3–13 points, while Republican incumbent Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a modest lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington. Both primaries are scheduled for September 8, 2026, with Pappas and Sununu favored in their respective fields and no late polling shifts evident as of mid-August. The state’s modest Democratic lean and historical pattern of backing Democratic Senate candidates support the trader consensus that Democrats are more likely to hold the Senate while Republicans retain the governorship, producing the dominant Rep-Gov/Dem-Senate outcome. Other combinations, including sweeps, remain possible but trail significantly given the separate race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$3,736Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...New Hampshire’s open Senate seat and gubernatorial race point traders toward split control because recent polling consistently shows Democratic Representative Chris Pappas ahead of likely Republican nominee John E. Sununu by roughly 3–13 points, while Republican incumbent Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a modest lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington. Both primaries are scheduled for September 8, 2026, with Pappas and Sununu favored in their respective fields and no late polling shifts evident as of mid-August. The state’s modest Democratic lean and historical pattern of backing Democratic Senate candidates support the trader consensus that Democrats are more likely to hold the Senate while Republicans retain the governorship, producing the dominant Rep-Gov/Dem-Senate outcome. Other combinations, including sweeps, remain possible but trail significantly given the separate race dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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