Alaska's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial contests feature a closely contested Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola alongside an open gubernatorial race with a crowded top-four primary on August 18 advancing candidates to a ranked-choice general election. Recent polls show the Senate race as a toss-up, with Peltola occasionally edging ahead, while Democratic candidate Tom Begich leads the gubernatorial primary field amid vote-splitting among multiple Republicans. These dynamics support elevated probabilities for split outcomes and "other" results in the combo market, as traders price in uncertainty around primary advancement, general-election pairings, and ranked-choice voting effects that could favor cross-party ticket splits over unified party sweeps.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDems sweep 31%
Reps sweep 31%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 22%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
31%
Reps sweep
31%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
22%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
17%
Dems sweep 31%
Reps sweep 31%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 22%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$105 Обс.
31%
Reps sweep
$50 Обс.
31%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$60 Обс.
22%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$60 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Alaska's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial contests feature a closely contested Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola alongside an open gubernatorial race with a crowded top-four primary on August 18 advancing candidates to a ranked-choice general election. Recent polls show the Senate race as a toss-up, with Peltola occasionally edging ahead, while Democratic candidate Tom Begich leads the gubernatorial primary field amid vote-splitting among multiple Republicans. These dynamics support elevated probabilities for split outcomes and "other" results in the combo market, as traders price in uncertainty around primary advancement, general-election pairings, and ranked-choice voting effects that could favor cross-party ticket splits over unified party sweeps.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$275Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Alaska's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial contests feature a closely contested Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola alongside an open gubernatorial race with a crowded top-four primary on August 18 advancing candidates to a ranked-choice general election. Recent polls show the Senate race as a toss-up, with Peltola occasionally edging ahead, while Democratic candidate Tom Begich leads the gubernatorial primary field amid vote-splitting among multiple Republicans. These dynamics support elevated probabilities for split outcomes and "other" results in the combo market, as traders price in uncertainty around primary advancement, general-election pairings, and ranked-choice voting effects that could favor cross-party ticket splits over unified party sweeps.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$275Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alaska's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial contests feature a closely contested Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola alongside an open gubernatorial race with a crowded top-four primary on August 18 advancing candidates to a ranked-choice general election. Recent polls show the Senate race as a toss-up, with Peltola occasionally edging ahead, while Democratic candidate Tom Begich leads the gubernatorial primary field amid vote-splitting among multiple Republicans. These dynamics support elevated probabilities for split outcomes and "other" results in the combo market, as traders price in uncertainty around primary advancement, general-election pairings, and ranked-choice voting effects that could favor cross-party ticket splits over unified party sweeps.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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