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Politics·Primaries

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Thomas Chalifoux 76%

Justin Story 7.4%

Jorge Malavet 4.9%

Marcus Carter 4.1%

Polymarket

$20,937 Обс.

Thomas Chalifoux 76%

Justin Story 7.4%

Jorge Malavet 4.9%

Marcus Carter 4.1%

Polymarket

$20,937 Обс.

Thomas Chalifoux

$1,485 Обс.

76%

Justin Story

$8,349 Обс.

7%

Jorge Malavet

$2,516 Обс.

5%

Marcus Carter

$651 Обс.

4%

Howard Steven Rance

$7,935 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The redrawn Florida's 9th Congressional District, now favoring Republicans following the May 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, has drawn a crowded primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Steve Rance and Thomas Chalifoux remain closely matched in trader consensus due to their respective profiles—Rance's military background and Chalifoux's prior nomination and stronger fundraising totals—while lower-polling candidates like Justin Story, Marcus Carter, and Jorge Malavet trail with limited visibility or resources. The tight spread reflects limited polling data, similar levels of establishment support, and uncertainty over which contender can consolidate backing in the final weeks before the primary. Upcoming endorsements, debate performances, or shifts in campaign spending could widen the gap ahead of election night.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$20,937
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The redrawn Florida's 9th Congressional District, now favoring Republicans following the May 2026 map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, has drawn a crowded primary field ahead of the August 18 vote. Steve Rance and Thomas Chalifoux remain closely matched in trader consensus due to their respective profiles—Rance's military background and Chalifoux's prior nomination and stronger fundraising totals—while lower-polling candidates like Justin Story, Marcus Carter, and Jorge Malavet trail with limited visibility or resources. The tight spread reflects limited polling data, similar levels of establishment support, and uncertainty over which contender can consolidate backing in the final weeks before the primary. Upcoming endorsements, debate performances, or shifts in campaign spending could widen the gap ahead of election night.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$20,937
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Thomas Chalifoux» з 76%, далі «Justin Story» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $20.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 23, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» — «Thomas Chalifoux» з 76%. Наступний — «Justin Story» з 7%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.