Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County, holds an 87% implied probability in the market, while Kuomintang (KMT) challenger Su Ching-chuan stands at 13%. DPP formally nominated Chou for re-election in February 2026 to face the same KMT opponent she defeated by a narrow margin in the 2022 local election. Recent party conventions and candidate announcements have reinforced this matchup ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote, with no major shifts reported since early 2026. Incumbency, prior electoral success, and party organizational strength underpin trader consensus around Chou’s position, while Su’s candidacy reflects KMT efforts to contest southern Taiwan counties. Other potential entrants register minimal market interest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Chou Chun-mi
87%
Su Ching-chuan
13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Chou Chun-mi
$1,507 Обс.
87%
Su Ching-chuan
$1,598 Обс.
13%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County, holds an 87% implied probability in the market, while Kuomintang (KMT) challenger Su Ching-chuan stands at 13%. DPP formally nominated Chou for re-election in February 2026 to face the same KMT opponent she defeated by a narrow margin in the 2022 local election. Recent party conventions and candidate announcements have reinforced this matchup ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote, with no major shifts reported since early 2026. Incumbency, prior electoral success, and party organizational strength underpin trader consensus around Chou’s position, while Su’s candidacy reflects KMT efforts to contest southern Taiwan counties. Other potential entrants register minimal market interest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,105Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County, holds an 87% implied probability in the market, while Kuomintang (KMT) challenger Su Ching-chuan stands at 13%. DPP formally nominated Chou for re-election in February 2026 to face the same KMT opponent she defeated by a narrow margin in the 2022 local election. Recent party conventions and candidate announcements have reinforced this matchup ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote, with no major shifts reported since early 2026. Incumbency, prior electoral success, and party organizational strength underpin trader consensus around Chou’s position, while Su’s candidacy reflects KMT efforts to contest southern Taiwan counties. Other potential entrants register minimal market interest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$3,105Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) incumbent magistrate of Pingtung County, holds an 87% implied probability in the market, while Kuomintang (KMT) challenger Su Ching-chuan stands at 13%. DPP formally nominated Chou for re-election in February 2026 to face the same KMT opponent she defeated by a narrow margin in the 2022 local election. Recent party conventions and candidate announcements have reinforced this matchup ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote, with no major shifts reported since early 2026. Incumbency, prior electoral success, and party organizational strength underpin trader consensus around Chou’s position, while Su’s candidacy reflects KMT efforts to contest southern Taiwan counties. Other potential entrants register minimal market interest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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