Chen Su-yueh, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator nominated for Changhua County magistrate, leads the market at 83.5% implied probability ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. Her position stems from the DPP’s early and unified nomination process, her established local profile in the county, and the absence of a comparably strong challenger. Kuomintang deliberations over Wei Ping-cheng as nominee, following Liu Ho-jan’s March 2026 withdrawal and internal party discussions in April, have kept that outcome at 9%. Former DPP mayor Chiu Chien-fu’s June 2026 resignation from the party to run independently sits at 7%, with remaining listed candidates at single-digit or lower levels reflecting limited organizational backing or polling traction at this stage. Trader consensus incorporates the DPP’s structural advantages in candidate selection and the compressed timeline before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоChen Su-yueh 84%
Wei Ping-cheng 9%
Chiu Chien-fu 5%
Hung Jung-chang 3.9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Su-yueh
84%
Wei Ping-cheng
9%
Chiu Chien-fu
5%
Hung Jung-chang
4%
Lin Shih-hsien
2%
Huang Hsiu-fang
1%
Chen Su-yueh 84%
Wei Ping-cheng 9%
Chiu Chien-fu 5%
Hung Jung-chang 3.9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Su-yueh
$1,743 Обс.
84%
Wei Ping-cheng
$445 Обс.
9%
Chiu Chien-fu
$461 Обс.
5%
Hung Jung-chang
$442 Обс.
4%
Lin Shih-hsien
$972 Обс.
2%
Huang Hsiu-fang
$358 Обс.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator nominated for Changhua County magistrate, leads the market at 83.5% implied probability ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. Her position stems from the DPP’s early and unified nomination process, her established local profile in the county, and the absence of a comparably strong challenger. Kuomintang deliberations over Wei Ping-cheng as nominee, following Liu Ho-jan’s March 2026 withdrawal and internal party discussions in April, have kept that outcome at 9%. Former DPP mayor Chiu Chien-fu’s June 2026 resignation from the party to run independently sits at 7%, with remaining listed candidates at single-digit or lower levels reflecting limited organizational backing or polling traction at this stage. Trader consensus incorporates the DPP’s structural advantages in candidate selection and the compressed timeline before voting.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,420Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Su-yueh, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator nominated for Changhua County magistrate, leads the market at 83.5% implied probability ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. Her position stems from the DPP’s early and unified nomination process, her established local profile in the county, and the absence of a comparably strong challenger. Kuomintang deliberations over Wei Ping-cheng as nominee, following Liu Ho-jan’s March 2026 withdrawal and internal party discussions in April, have kept that outcome at 9%. Former DPP mayor Chiu Chien-fu’s June 2026 resignation from the party to run independently sits at 7%, with remaining listed candidates at single-digit or lower levels reflecting limited organizational backing or polling traction at this stage. Trader consensus incorporates the DPP’s structural advantages in candidate selection and the compressed timeline before voting.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$4,420Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Su-yueh, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator nominated for Changhua County magistrate, leads the market at 83.5% implied probability ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. Her position stems from the DPP’s early and unified nomination process, her established local profile in the county, and the absence of a comparably strong challenger. Kuomintang deliberations over Wei Ping-cheng as nominee, following Liu Ho-jan’s March 2026 withdrawal and internal party discussions in April, have kept that outcome at 9%. Former DPP mayor Chiu Chien-fu’s June 2026 resignation from the party to run independently sits at 7%, with remaining listed candidates at single-digit or lower levels reflecting limited organizational backing or polling traction at this stage. Trader consensus incorporates the DPP’s structural advantages in candidate selection and the compressed timeline before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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