Sweden's 13 September 2026 general election to the 349-seat Riksdag will determine the next government through post-election coalition negotiations in a multi-party system. Recent polls show the centre-left bloc led by the Social Democrats ahead of the incumbent Tidö alliance of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals, which relies on parliamentary support from the Sweden Democrats. The Liberals have polled near or below the 4% threshold for seats, while early voting begins on 26 August. Key issues including crime, the economy and security continue to shape voter preferences ahead of the contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
92%

Green Party (MP)
77%

Left Party (V)
71%

Centre Party (C)
70%

Liberals (L)
27%

Christian Democrats (KD)
20%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
10%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
5%

Moderate Party (M)
47%
$7,965 Обс.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
92%

Green Party (MP)
77%

Left Party (V)
71%

Centre Party (C)
70%

Liberals (L)
27%

Christian Democrats (KD)
20%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
10%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
5%

Moderate Party (M)
47%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sweden's 13 September 2026 general election to the 349-seat Riksdag will determine the next government through post-election coalition negotiations in a multi-party system. Recent polls show the centre-left bloc led by the Social Democrats ahead of the incumbent Tidö alliance of Moderates, Christian Democrats and Liberals, which relies on parliamentary support from the Sweden Democrats. The Liberals have polled near or below the 4% threshold for seats, while early voting begins on 26 August. Key issues including crime, the economy and security continue to shape voter preferences ahead of the contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання