Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County (Matsu Islands), holds an overwhelming lead in trader pricing at 86% for the 2026 local election. Nominated by the KMT party center in June 2026 for a second term, he faces a rematch against independent challenger Tsao Erh-yuan, who previously captured around 42% in 2022. The absence of a Democratic Progressive Party nominee and the county’s strong historical KMT alignment limit credible opposition, keeping other listed candidates at minimal implied probabilities. This positioning reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, party endorsement, and local voting patterns in Taiwan’s smallest municipality ahead of the November vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWang Chung-ming 86%
Tsao Erh-yuan 4.9%
Tsao Erh-chang <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Wang Chung-ming
86%
Tsao Erh-yuan
5%
Tsao Erh-chang
<1%
Wang Chung-ming 86%
Tsao Erh-yuan 4.9%
Tsao Erh-chang <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Wang Chung-ming
$3,748 Обс.
86%
Tsao Erh-yuan
$777 Обс.
5%
Tsao Erh-chang
$1,000 Обс.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County (Matsu Islands), holds an overwhelming lead in trader pricing at 86% for the 2026 local election. Nominated by the KMT party center in June 2026 for a second term, he faces a rematch against independent challenger Tsao Erh-yuan, who previously captured around 42% in 2022. The absence of a Democratic Progressive Party nominee and the county’s strong historical KMT alignment limit credible opposition, keeping other listed candidates at minimal implied probabilities. This positioning reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, party endorsement, and local voting patterns in Taiwan’s smallest municipality ahead of the November vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,525Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County (Matsu Islands), holds an overwhelming lead in trader pricing at 86% for the 2026 local election. Nominated by the KMT party center in June 2026 for a second term, he faces a rematch against independent challenger Tsao Erh-yuan, who previously captured around 42% in 2022. The absence of a Democratic Progressive Party nominee and the county’s strong historical KMT alignment limit credible opposition, keeping other listed candidates at minimal implied probabilities. This positioning reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, party endorsement, and local voting patterns in Taiwan’s smallest municipality ahead of the November vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$5,525Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Wang Chung-ming, the Kuomintang incumbent magistrate of Lienchiang County (Matsu Islands), holds an overwhelming lead in trader pricing at 86% for the 2026 local election. Nominated by the KMT party center in June 2026 for a second term, he faces a rematch against independent challenger Tsao Erh-yuan, who previously captured around 42% in 2022. The absence of a Democratic Progressive Party nominee and the county’s strong historical KMT alignment limit credible opposition, keeping other listed candidates at minimal implied probabilities. This positioning reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, party endorsement, and local voting patterns in Taiwan’s smallest municipality ahead of the November vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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