Chung Tung-chin's position as incumbent Kuomintang magistrate in Miaoli County, a long-standing KMT stronghold where no non-KMT candidate has won in decades, underpins the market's 92.8% trader consensus on his reelection. Only two candidates registered for the November 28, 2026, vote: Chung, backed by KMT and Taiwan People's Party figures with strong local organization and endorsements, and DPP challenger Chen Pin-an, a sitting councilor drawing central government support. Recent steps including September candidate registration and the October 27 ballot draw have not shifted the structural edge. Late developments such as turnout surges in specific townships, major campaign events, or unforeseen controversies could still narrow the gap before election day.