Incumbent Chung Tung-chin holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Miaoli County magistrate race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, while DPP nominee Chen Pin-an sits at 7% and a long list of other declared or potential candidates trade near 50%. Traders price the outcome this way primarily because of Chung’s incumbency advantage and recent performance metrics, including a June 2026 award for the largest year-over-year gain in administrative satisfaction ratings, which reached 69.7%. The DPP’s formal nomination of Chen Pin-an provides the clearest opposition channel, yet no polling or campaign developments in the past month have narrowed the gap. Resolution occurs after vote certification, with any late candidate withdrawals or court rulings on eligibility representing the main remaining variables that could shift positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMiaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Chung Tung-chin
89%
Chen Pin-an
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2027
Chung Tung-chin
$643 Обс.
89%
Chen Pin-an
$804 Обс.
7%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Chung Tung-chin holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Miaoli County magistrate race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, while DPP nominee Chen Pin-an sits at 7% and a long list of other declared or potential candidates trade near 50%. Traders price the outcome this way primarily because of Chung’s incumbency advantage and recent performance metrics, including a June 2026 award for the largest year-over-year gain in administrative satisfaction ratings, which reached 69.7%. The DPP’s formal nomination of Chen Pin-an provides the clearest opposition channel, yet no polling or campaign developments in the past month have narrowed the gap. Resolution occurs after vote certification, with any late candidate withdrawals or court rulings on eligibility representing the main remaining variables that could shift positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,447Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Chung Tung-chin holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Miaoli County magistrate race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, while DPP nominee Chen Pin-an sits at 7% and a long list of other declared or potential candidates trade near 50%. Traders price the outcome this way primarily because of Chung’s incumbency advantage and recent performance metrics, including a June 2026 award for the largest year-over-year gain in administrative satisfaction ratings, which reached 69.7%. The DPP’s formal nomination of Chen Pin-an provides the clearest opposition channel, yet no polling or campaign developments in the past month have narrowed the gap. Resolution occurs after vote certification, with any late candidate withdrawals or court rulings on eligibility representing the main remaining variables that could shift positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Обсяг
$1,447Дата завершення
Nov 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Chung Tung-chin holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Miaoli County magistrate race ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, while DPP nominee Chen Pin-an sits at 7% and a long list of other declared or potential candidates trade near 50%. Traders price the outcome this way primarily because of Chung’s incumbency advantage and recent performance metrics, including a June 2026 award for the largest year-over-year gain in administrative satisfaction ratings, which reached 69.7%. The DPP’s formal nomination of Chen Pin-an provides the clearest opposition channel, yet no polling or campaign developments in the past month have narrowed the gap. Resolution occurs after vote certification, with any late candidate withdrawals or court rulings on eligibility representing the main remaining variables that could shift positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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