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Вибори·Республіканська початкова

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Вибори·Республіканська початкова

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Randy Fine 85%

Aaron Baker 8.1%

Dan Bilzerian 3.4%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Polymarket

$141,007 Обс.

Randy Fine 85%

Aaron Baker 8.1%

Dan Bilzerian 3.4%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Polymarket

$141,007 Обс.

Randy Fine

$14,672 Обс.

85%

Aaron Baker

$14,892 Обс.

8%

Dan Bilzerian

$45,848 Обс.

3%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$27,207 Обс.

<1%

Joshua Vasquez

$9,109 Обс.

<1%

Charles Gambaro

$10,760 Обс.

<1%

Ernest Audino

$18,519 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine commands 85.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage following a 2025 special election victory, dominant fundraising lead reported in mid-April, and the district's solid Republican lean with a Trump +30 margin. Challenger Dan Bilzerian's odds fell to 4.5% after a recent public feud with Nick Fuentes and groypers over the past week, eroding his early buzz from filing in early April and meme-driven campaign. Aaron Baker has edged ahead at 6.8% amid this shift, while others trail far behind in the crowded field ahead of the August 18 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$141,007
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Randy Fine commands 85.5% trader consensus in the FL-06 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage following a 2025 special election victory, dominant fundraising lead reported in mid-April, and the district's solid Republican lean with a Trump +30 margin. Challenger Dan Bilzerian's odds fell to 4.5% after a recent public feud with Nick Fuentes and groypers over the past week, eroding his early buzz from filing in early April and meme-driven campaign. Aaron Baker has edged ahead at 6.8% amid this shift, while others trail far behind in the crowded field ahead of the August 18 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$141,007
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-06 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Randy Fine» з 85%, далі «Aaron Baker» з 8%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-06 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $141K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 13, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-06 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-06 Republican Primary Winner» — «Randy Fine» з 85%. Наступний — «Aaron Baker» з 8%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-06 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.