Lisa Demuth secured the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial nomination on August 11 with roughly 43% of the vote against Mike Lindell’s 32% and Kendall Qualls’ 21%, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a Demuth victory exceeding 10 points. Her position as House speaker delivered institutional backing, endorsements from party leaders, and appeal among establishment voters focused on electability in a state without a GOP governor since 2006. Lindell, backed by Donald Trump, led some early and mid-summer surveys but faded as turnout favored Demuth’s organized campaign over his outsider profile and prior controversies. Lindell’s post-election refusal to concede and claims of irregularities have not altered certified results or trader consensus. A narrow recount or successful legal challenge could theoretically compress the margin, though procedural thresholds and vote totals make such shifts improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDemuth 10%+ 97.5%
Demuth 5–10% 2.5%
Lindell 25%+ 1.8%
Lindell 20–25% 1.8%
$773 Обс.
$773 Обс.
Aug 11, 2026
Lindell 25%+
2%
Lindell 20–25%
2%
Lindell 15–20%
2%
Lindell 10–15%
1%
Lindell 5–10%
2%
Lindell <5%
2%
Demuth <5%
2%
Demuth 5–10%
2%
Demuth 10%+
98%
Demuth 10%+ 97.5%
Demuth 5–10% 2.5%
Lindell 25%+ 1.8%
Lindell 20–25% 1.8%
$773 Обс.
$773 Обс.
Aug 11, 2026
Lindell 25%+
$57 Обс.
2%
Lindell 20–25%
$37 Обс.
2%
Lindell 15–20%
$37 Обс.
2%
Lindell 10–15%
$172 Обс.
1%
Lindell 5–10%
$17 Обс.
2%
Lindell <5%
$217 Обс.
2%
Demuth <5%
$217 Обс.
2%
Demuth 5–10%
$0 Обс.
2%
Demuth 10%+
$19 Обс.
98%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lisa Demuth secured the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial nomination on August 11 with roughly 43% of the vote against Mike Lindell’s 32% and Kendall Qualls’ 21%, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a Demuth victory exceeding 10 points. Her position as House speaker delivered institutional backing, endorsements from party leaders, and appeal among establishment voters focused on electability in a state without a GOP governor since 2006. Lindell, backed by Donald Trump, led some early and mid-summer surveys but faded as turnout favored Demuth’s organized campaign over his outsider profile and prior controversies. Lindell’s post-election refusal to concede and claims of irregularities have not altered certified results or trader consensus. A narrow recount or successful legal challenge could theoretically compress the margin, though procedural thresholds and vote totals make such shifts improbable.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$773Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lisa Demuth secured the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial nomination on August 11 with roughly 43% of the vote against Mike Lindell’s 32% and Kendall Qualls’ 21%, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a Demuth victory exceeding 10 points. Her position as House speaker delivered institutional backing, endorsements from party leaders, and appeal among establishment voters focused on electability in a state without a GOP governor since 2006. Lindell, backed by Donald Trump, led some early and mid-summer surveys but faded as turnout favored Demuth’s organized campaign over his outsider profile and prior controversies. Lindell’s post-election refusal to concede and claims of irregularities have not altered certified results or trader consensus. A narrow recount or successful legal challenge could theoretically compress the margin, though procedural thresholds and vote totals make such shifts improbable.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Обсяг
$773Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lisa Demuth secured the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial nomination on August 11 with roughly 43% of the vote against Mike Lindell’s 32% and Kendall Qualls’ 21%, producing an 11-point margin that aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a Demuth victory exceeding 10 points. Her position as House speaker delivered institutional backing, endorsements from party leaders, and appeal among establishment voters focused on electability in a state without a GOP governor since 2006. Lindell, backed by Donald Trump, led some early and mid-summer surveys but faded as turnout favored Demuth’s organized campaign over his outsider profile and prior controversies. Lindell’s post-election refusal to concede and claims of irregularities have not altered certified results or trader consensus. A narrow recount or successful legal challenge could theoretically compress the margin, though procedural thresholds and vote totals make such shifts improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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