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Politics·Louisiana Primary

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

icon for LA-05 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Louisiana Primary

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Blake Miguez 7%

Misti Cordell 5.6%

Rick Edmonds 4.7%

Michael Mebruer 3.9%

Polymarket

$46,204 Обс.

Blake Miguez 7%

Misti Cordell 5.6%

Rick Edmonds 4.7%

Michael Mebruer 3.9%

Polymarket

$46,204 Обс.

Blake Miguez

$23,338 Обс.

7%

Misti Cordell

$1,483 Обс.

6%

Rick Edmonds

$1,336 Обс.

5%

Michael Mebruer

$1,323 Обс.

4%

Michael Echols

$11,014 Обс.

4%

Samuel Wyatt

$6,084 Обс.

2%

Austin Magee

$1,624 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Austin Magee leads trader consensus in the LA-05 Republican primary at 44% implied probability, ahead of state Sen. Blake Miguez (15%) and state Rep. Michael Echols (12.5%), reflecting his profile as a Franklinton industrial construction firm owner in a crowded field for the open seat vacated by Julia Letlow’s Senate bid. Recent April debates highlighted differences on immigration, rural healthcare, and infrastructure, while polling from that period showed Miguez and Echols competitive early on. Echols’s pledge to self-fund up to $1 million and Miguez’s Trump endorsement have shaped positioning, yet the primary’s postponement beyond the original May 16 date has sustained uncertainty among the seven candidates. Traders appear to weigh Magee’s business background and local ties most heavily amid the delayed timeline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$46,204
Дата завершення
May 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Austin Magee leads trader consensus in the LA-05 Republican primary at 44% implied probability, ahead of state Sen. Blake Miguez (15%) and state Rep. Michael Echols (12.5%), reflecting his profile as a Franklinton industrial construction firm owner in a crowded field for the open seat vacated by Julia Letlow’s Senate bid. Recent April debates highlighted differences on immigration, rural healthcare, and infrastructure, while polling from that period showed Miguez and Echols competitive early on. Echols’s pledge to self-fund up to $1 million and Miguez’s Trump endorsement have shaped positioning, yet the primary’s postponement beyond the original May 16 date has sustained uncertainty among the seven candidates. Traders appear to weigh Magee’s business background and local ties most heavily amid the delayed timeline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$46,204
Дата завершення
May 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«LA-05 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Blake Miguez» з 7%, далі «Misti Cordell» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «LA-05 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $46.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 26, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «LA-05 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «LA-05 Republican Primary Winner» — «Blake Miguez» лише з 7%, а «Misti Cordell» — близько позаду з 6%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «LA-05 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.