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Політика·Первинні

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Catalina Lauf 41%

Jim Schwartzel 24.4%

Jim Oberweis 11.7%

Madison Cawthorn 11.0%

Polymarket

$22,773 Обс.

Catalina Lauf 41%

Jim Schwartzel 24.4%

Jim Oberweis 11.7%

Madison Cawthorn 11.0%

Polymarket

$22,773 Обс.

Catalina Lauf

$16,733 Обс.

41%

Jim Schwartzel

$604 Обс.

24%

Jim Oberweis

$2,602 Обс.

12%

Madison Cawthorn

$1,312 Обс.

11%

Spencer Roach

$656 Обс.

5%

Bob Rommel

$865 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Florida's 19th Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus shows Catalina Lauf edging Jim Schwartzel at 41% to 39.1%, reflecting an open seat vacated by Rep. Byron Donalds amid his gubernatorial bid and a crowded field now thinning after early withdrawals like Spencer Roach. Lauf's momentum stems from strong Q1 2026 fundraising ($541,000 raised), Trump administration experience, and endorsements from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna and Veterans for America First, appealing to national conservative voters. Schwartzel counters with superior cash-on-hand ($1.28 million entering 2026) and deep Southwest Florida roots as a local broadcaster, offsetting a minor radio station controversy. Absent public polling, the race stays tight; Q2 finance filings, candidate forums, and party endorsements before the August 18 primary could create separation among trailing contenders like Jim Oberweis and Madison Cawthorn.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,773
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Florida's 19th Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus shows Catalina Lauf edging Jim Schwartzel at 41% to 39.1%, reflecting an open seat vacated by Rep. Byron Donalds amid his gubernatorial bid and a crowded field now thinning after early withdrawals like Spencer Roach. Lauf's momentum stems from strong Q1 2026 fundraising ($541,000 raised), Trump administration experience, and endorsements from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna and Veterans for America First, appealing to national conservative voters. Schwartzel counters with superior cash-on-hand ($1.28 million entering 2026) and deep Southwest Florida roots as a local broadcaster, offsetting a minor radio station controversy. Absent public polling, the race stays tight; Q2 finance filings, candidate forums, and party endorsements before the August 18 primary could create separation among trailing contenders like Jim Oberweis and Madison Cawthorn.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,773
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Catalina Lauf» з 41%, далі «Jim Schwartzel» з 24%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $22.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» — «Catalina Lauf» з 41%. Наступний — «Jim Schwartzel» з 24%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.