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Політика·Первинні

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Catalina Lauf 82%

Jim Schwartzel 11.3%

Jim Oberweis 4.3%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Polymarket

$73,441 Обс.

Catalina Lauf 82%

Jim Schwartzel 11.3%

Jim Oberweis 4.3%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Polymarket

$73,441 Обс.

icon for Catalina Lauf

Catalina Lauf

$33,801 Обс.

82%

icon for Jim Schwartzel

Jim Schwartzel

$17,884 Обс.

11%

icon for Jim Oberweis

Jim Oberweis

$11,050 Обс.

4%

icon for Madison Cawthorn

Madison Cawthorn

$4,386 Обс.

1%

icon for Bob Rommel

Bob Rommel

$3,912 Обс.

<1%

icon for Spencer Roach

Spencer Roach

$2,408 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Catalina Lauf holds a commanding lead in the Florida 19th Congressional District Republican primary due to a surge of high-profile endorsements, including President Trump's backing announced days before the August 18 vote, plus support from Reps. Greg Steube, Kat Cammack, and Anna Paulina Luna, Sen. Jim Banks, and a super PAC linked to Sen. Rand Paul. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid in a district Trump carried by a wide margin, has drawn a crowded field, but Lauf's Trump administration experience and recent polling momentum have consolidated trader consensus around her nomination. Local candidate Jim Schwartzel and self-funding contender Jim Oberweis trail with limited institutional support, while figures like former Rep. Madison Cawthorn register minimal odds amid the frontrunner's establishment alignment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$73,441
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Catalina Lauf holds a commanding lead in the Florida 19th Congressional District Republican primary due to a surge of high-profile endorsements, including President Trump's backing announced days before the August 18 vote, plus support from Reps. Greg Steube, Kat Cammack, and Anna Paulina Luna, Sen. Jim Banks, and a super PAC linked to Sen. Rand Paul. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Byron Donalds' gubernatorial bid in a district Trump carried by a wide margin, has drawn a crowded field, but Lauf's Trump administration experience and recent polling momentum have consolidated trader consensus around her nomination. Local candidate Jim Schwartzel and self-funding contender Jim Oberweis trail with limited institutional support, while figures like former Rep. Madison Cawthorn register minimal odds amid the frontrunner's establishment alignment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$73,441
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Catalina Lauf» з 82%, далі «Jim Schwartzel» з 11%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $73.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» — «Catalina Lauf» з 82%. Наступний — «Jim Schwartzel» з 11%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-19 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.