U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany commands 90.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial primary market, driven by his frontrunner status in recent polls showing 40% support, dominant fundraising with over $2 million raised early, and key endorsements including from President Trump in late January, which spurred challengers like Josh Schoemann to drop out. The field has narrowed significantly ahead of the August 11 primary, leaving Andy Manske as the main rival at 8%, while veterans like Tommy Thompson and Rebecca Kleefisch trail far behind. Trader consensus reflects Tiffany's incumbency advantage in the rural 7th Congressional District and consolidated GOP support in this open-seat race. Late-breaking scandals, a surging Manske campaign, or high-profile debates could challenge his lead, though barriers remain high with three months left.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTom Tiffany 91%
Andy Manske 7.3%
Tommy Thompson 1.9%
Josh Schoemann 1.6%
$82,422 Обс.
$82,422 Обс.
Tom Tiffany
91%
Andy Manske
7%
Tommy Thompson
2%
Josh Schoemann
2%
Rebecca Kleefisch
1%
Tim Michels
1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
Eric Hovde
<1%
Tom Tiffany 91%
Andy Manske 7.3%
Tommy Thompson 1.9%
Josh Schoemann 1.6%
$82,422 Обс.
$82,422 Обс.
Tom Tiffany
91%
Andy Manske
7%
Tommy Thompson
2%
Josh Schoemann
2%
Rebecca Kleefisch
1%
Tim Michels
1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
Eric Hovde
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany commands 90.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin Republican gubernatorial primary market, driven by his frontrunner status in recent polls showing 40% support, dominant fundraising with over $2 million raised early, and key endorsements including from President Trump in late January, which spurred challengers like Josh Schoemann to drop out. The field has narrowed significantly ahead of the August 11 primary, leaving Andy Manske as the main rival at 8%, while veterans like Tommy Thompson and Rebecca Kleefisch trail far behind. Trader consensus reflects Tiffany's incumbency advantage in the rural 7th Congressional District and consolidated GOP support in this open-seat race. Late-breaking scandals, a surging Manske campaign, or high-profile debates could challenge his lead, though barriers remain high with three months left.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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