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Політика·Глобальні вибори

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

icon for Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Політика·Глобальні вибори

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

16% шанс
Polymarket

$462,591 Обс.

16% шанс
Polymarket

$462,591 Обс.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD at 40-42 percent, ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent, with the Left, SPD, and Greens combining for enough support to clear the five-percent threshold. This distribution leaves the AfD short of the roughly 42 seats needed for an absolute majority out of 83 under proportional representation, as smaller parties' entry reduces wasted votes that would otherwise boost the AfD's share. No other party has signaled willingness to form a coalition, reinforcing reliance on an outright majority that current trends and tactical-voting appeals have not produced. Traders' strong consensus on "No" reflects these stable survey results and the narrow remaining window for shifts.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Обсяг
$462,591
Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD at 40-42 percent, ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent, with the Left, SPD, and Greens combining for enough support to clear the five-percent threshold. This distribution leaves the AfD short of the roughly 42 seats needed for an absolute majority out of 83 under proportional representation, as smaller parties' entry reduces wasted votes that would otherwise boost the AfD's share. No other party has signaled willingness to form a coalition, reinforcing reliance on an outright majority that current trends and tactical-voting appeals have not produced. Traders' strong consensus on "No" reflects these stable survey results and the narrow remaining window for shifts.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Обсяг
$462,591
Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Пов'язане

icon for Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

70%
icon for Чи отримає АдГ найбільшу кількість місць на парламентських виборах у Саксонії-Ангальт у 2026 році?

Чи отримає АдГ найбільшу кількість місць на парламентських виборах у Саксонії-Ангальт у 2026 році?

99%
Так
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Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 16% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 16¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 16%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?» згенерував $462.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 12, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?» — 16% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 16% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

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